Showing posts with label Season 5 Episode 7. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Season 5 Episode 7. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 22, 2017

Season 5, Episode 7 Probabilities - with spinoff assistance

There are reports (original) that an Are You The One? spinoff is occurring with six of this season's cast members. I have not seen any official indication from MTV about this show or these cast members being together. This post will keep track of known combinations given the assumption that there are three pairs of perfect matches within those six contestants. These possible perfect matches are still possible through episode 7.

See the original episode 7 post if you do not want to be spoiled by this info. (I will go back and add in prior episode information later.)

Season 5, Episode 7 Probabilities

No live blog tonight.

Truth Booth

Andre and Taylor went into the Truth Booth. We've known since Episode 5 that they weren't a perfect match. No progress!

They were offered the Truth Booth trade, but declined it. Obviously, it would have been a better deal to take the trade.

Matchup Ceremony
  • Casandra - Andre (repeat from episode 4)
  • Alicia - Ozzy
  • Shannon - Tyler (repeat from episodes 3-6)
  • Taylor - Osvaldo (repeat from episode 4)
  • Kari - Derrick
  • Kathryn - Joey (repeat from episodes 3-6)
  • Tyranny - Jaylan (repeat from episode 4)
  • Hannah - Michael (repeat from episode 1)
  • Gianna - Mike
  • Carolina - Hayden (repeat from episodes 3-6)
Blackout odds: 0% (0 of 165)
Instant win possible: No, repeated more than 4 couples from episode 4
Maximum number of lights: 8
Most likely number of lights: 4

4 beams means 84 combinations remain.

AndreDerrickEdwardHaydenJaylanJoeyMichaelMikeOsvaldoOzzyTyler
AliciaXXX6.0%22.6%4.8%X40.5%20.2%X6.0%
Carolina10.7%16.7%X54.8%7.1%XX2.4%4.8%X3.6%
Casandra52.4%26.2%X6.0%X3.6%2.4%X3.6%X6.0%
GiannaX6.0%XX3.6%1.2%XXX86.9%2.4%
HannahX7.1%X15.5%X14.3%X22.6%22.6%X17.9%
KamXXMatchXXXXXXXX
KariXXXX2.4%X94.0%1.2%X2.4%X
Kathryn14.3%XX3.6%8.3%59.5%X2.4%7.1%X4.8%
Shannon11.9%13.1%X3.6%6.0%3.6%1.2%2.4%3.6%3.6%51.2%
TaylorX31.0%XX6.0%6.0%X8.3%38.1%2.4%8.3%
Tyranny10.7%XX10.7%44.0%7.1%2.4%20.2%X4.8%X


Read more for all 84 possibilities...