Season 2, Episode 8 Probabilities - Live Blog - The 10 Matches are In

10:02 I wonder how many honeymoon suites they allocated. 6?

10:03 Nothing is a big sell like "I want someone like my mom or sister."

"His parents haven't ever been divorced... my parents haven't ever been divorced!!"

10:15 This is gross.

Our pairs are:

Brandon & Briana (40%)
Nathan & Christina (20%)
Anthony & Jessica (no match)

Per last week's chart - Brandon is either with Briana or Tyler, so picking him would definitely be the best strategy here.

10:16 These guys are idiots. If that logic to vote for Christina makes sense now, it would have made even more sense before...

10:25 Yeah, calling Nathan a puppy dog is right on. Go out and have fun!

10:27 Whipped cream vs. cool whip is pretty easy to predict the answer - whipped cream fans aren't ever going to even ask the question.

Truth Booth

Nathan and Christina in. If they are a perfect match, it'll tell us all ten pairings - as only two combinations remain with Nathan and Christina, and they have different second matches for Nathan (Ashley and Briana). If they aren't a perfect match - then Ellie and Nathan are a perfect match as well as Jasmine - Alex.

10:33 And they aren't. We have our first two inferred perfect matches: Ellie and Nathan are a perfect match, as are Jasmine and Alex.

	Alex	Anthony	Brandon	Curtis	Dario	Garland	John	Layton	Nathan	Pratt
Alexandria	X	50%	X	X	X	50%	X	X	X	X
Ashley	X	X	X	X	50%	X	X	50%	X	X
Brianna	X	50%	50%	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Ellie	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match	X
Jasmine	Match	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Jenni	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match	X	X	X
Jessica	X	X	X	X	50%	50%	X	X	X	X
Paris	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match
Shelby	X	X	X	Match	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tyler	X	X	50%	X	X	X	X	50%	X	X
Christina	X	25%	X	X	25%	25%	X	25%	X	X

Here are your 8 remaining combinations. There are really only 2 matches of the main 10, with each having 4 different Christina possibilities:

1. Christina - Anthony, Alexandria - Anthony, Ashley - Dario, Briana - Brandon, Jessica - Garland, Tyler - Layton
2. Christina - Dario, Alexandria - Anthony, Ashley - Dario, Briana - Brandon, Jessica - Garland, Tyler - Layton
3. Christina - Garland, Alexandria - Anthony, Ashley - Dario, Briana - Brandon, Jessica - Garland, Tyler - Layton
4. Christina - Layton, Alexandria - Anthony, Ashley - Dario, Briana - Brandon, Jessica - Garland, Tyler - Layton
5. Christina - Anthony, Alexandria - Garland, Ashley - Layton, Briana - Anthony, Jessica - Dario, Tyler - Brandon
6. Christina - Dario, Alexandria - Garland, Ashley - Layton, Briana - Anthony, Jessica - Dario, Tyler - Brandon
7. Christina - Garland, Alexandria - Garland, Ashley - Layton, Briana - Anthony, Jessica - Dario, Tyler - Brandon
8. Christina - Layton, Alexandria - Garland, Ashley - Layton, Briana - Anthony, Jessica - Dario, Tyler - Brandon

Matchup Ceremony

• Briana + Nathan (confirmed no match)
• Jasmine + Alex (match!)
• Jessica + Anthony (confirmed no match)
• Tyler + Brandon
• Alexandria + Garland
• Ellie + Layton (confirmed no match)
• Ashley + Dario
• Christina attempts to steal Anthony from Jessica. He declines!

This means they will see either 5 or 6 lights. 5 lights mean possibilities 1-4 from the list above, 6 lights mean possibilities 5-8. Each is a set of 10 correct!

We have our correct 10!

The 10

1. Paris + Pratt (Truth Booth #4)
2. Shelby + Curtis (Truth Booth #5)
3. Jenni + John (Truth Booth #7)
4. Ellie + Nathan (inferred after Truth Booth #8)
5. Jasmine + Alex (inferred after Truth Booth #8)
6. Alexandria + Anthony
7. Ashley + Dario
8. Briana + Brandon
9. Jessica + Garland
10. Tyler + Layton

Christina's match is either Anthony, Dario, Garland, or Layton.

	Alex	Anthony	Brandon	Curtis	Dario	Garland	John	Layton	Nathan	Pratt
Alexandria	X	Match	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Ashley	X	X	X	X	Match	X	X	X	X	X
Brianna	X	X	Match	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Ellie	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match	X
Jasmine	Match	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Jenni	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match	X	X	X
Jessica	X	X	X	X	X	Match	X	X	X	X
Paris	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match
Shelby	X	X	X	Match	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tyler	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match	X	X
Christina	X	25%	X	X	25%	25%	X	25%	X	X