Showing posts with label Season 6 Episode 7. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Season 6 Episode 7. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 1, 2017

Season 6, Episode 7 Probabilities - Live Blog

Halfway through, this season's house has the most possibilities remaining... will they figure it out in time?

10:02: Keith and Alexis escaped all the commotion by heading off to the boom boom room.

10:13: The Getaway Challenge this week is a gumbo making challenge (each housemate only using one hand). Probably the most constructive challenge they've had so far!

10:20: Terrence J has to eat a lot of gumbo... some with cinnamon. The winners are Keith and Alexis (inferred no match) and Clinton and Geles (18.5%).

10:22: Diandra also thinking she and Malcolm have a shot... we know they don't.

10:24: Now Nurys fighting with Didi over Malcolm.

10:27: Bananas are flying and Clinton has to carry Didi away. Tyler has the right insight - that the no match couples are preventing people from meeting each other.

10:29: The house is pulling for Keith and Alexis... shout-out to DavidK93 for the explanation last week on why they're not a match:

Keith and Alexis sat together in ceremonies 1, 2, and 5; if they're a match, they were the only match in one-beam weeks 2 and 5. Many other couples from both weeks were repeated in other weeks, and would have to be wrong in those weeks. Eliminating those couples and other proven no-matches, plus any time Keith or Alexis were paired with anyone but each other, leaves exactly three possible couples for week 1, when there were three beams: Dimitri-Diandra, Keith-Alexis, and Tyler-Nicole. Then, eliminate any pairing that had someone from one of those couples with someone else. As a result, three-beam week 4 is left with exactly three couples: Anthony-Keyana, Malcolm-Alivia, and Michael-Geles. But if you then once again eliminate pairs that had one of those people with someone else, two-beam week 3 has only one possible match: Tyler-Nicole. Every other possible match has been ruled out, making that week's results impossible and disproving the initial assumption that Keith and Alexis were a match.

10:31: Do you view a sincere date like this differently knowing they're not a match?

Truth Booth #6

It's Keith and Alexis, who we already know are not a match. That means we're staying at 2,198 combinations left, still the worst in house history.

10:41: Speed dating round!! Probably a good way to START the season, but they're already in the second half.

10:43: Geles can't handle it.

Matchup Ceremony #6

10:50: "The Shad doesn't black out."

10:54: Ethan with the hat... groan
  • Keyana - Anthony (repeat from ceremony 4)
  • Alexis - Joe
  • Uche - Michael
  • Geles - Clinton
  • Zoe - Keith
  • Audrey - Shad (repeat from ceremonies 1, 4, and 5)
  • Nurys - Kareem
  • Diandra - Dimitri (repeat from ceremony 1)
  • Alivia - Malcolm (repeat from ceremony 4)
  • Nicole - Tyler (repeat from ceremonies 1 and 3)
  • Jada - Ethan (repeat from ceremonies 1 and 2)
Blackout odds: 0%
Instant win possible: No, did not repeat 2 couples from ceremony 3
Most likely number of lights: 3

4 beams means that they've narrowed it down to 459 possibilities. Still no perfect matches (inferred or confirmed) and no new inferred no matches...

AnthonyClintonDimitriEthanJoeKareemKeithMalcolmMichaelShadTyler
Alexis10.2%14.6%22.0%2.8%6.5%11.8%X8.9%9.8%9.2%4.1%
Alivia4.4%8.3%8.7%1.3%5.2%1.5%6.8%51.9%5.0%4.8%2.2%
Audrey8.3%6.8%8.3%2.0%X6.1%7.0%5.7%8.3%45.3%2.4%
DiandraX10.7%22.4%2.2%6.5%27.2%12.0%X9.2%9.8%X
GelesX23.3%8.3%X4.1%8.9%10.9%13.7%24.4%3.9%2.4%
Jada7.2%X0.9%81.5%1.5%2.6%2.0%1.3%1.1%1.3%0.7%
Keyana44.9%8.7%8.1%X4.8%5.2%7.0%3.5%13.1%4.8%X
NicoleX3.9%X0.7%0.2%3.9%2.6%0.9%1.3%3.5%83.0%
Nurys6.3%14.6%13.5%3.1%7.8%12.9%29.8%XX10.5%1.5%
Uche12.6%XX3.9%10.0%13.3%16.8%9.8%23.1%6.8%3.7%
Zoe6.1%9.2%7.8%2.6%53.2%6.5%5.2%4.4%4.8%0.2%X