10:06: This dude is not 45 but of course compared to these people...
10:07: WTF Devin arm strength.
10:16: Our couples are... Hunter - Amanda (12.3%), Nelson - Kiki (30.8%), Austin - Kayla (23.1%). Hunter passes on his top 3 potential matches. Nelson and Austin pick the best available. (edit: sorry, I picked the wrong numbers at first!)
10:29: This is the worst-case scenario for sending the same couple over and over again into the truth booth... Nelson and Kiki going in.
Truth Booth
No match between Nelson and Kiki. He's devastated, she's not. 45 combinations remaining.
| Alec | Austin | Chuck | Connor | Devin | Hunter | Mike | Nelson | Tyler | Zak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda | 11.1% | 11.1% | 20.0% | X | 8.9% | 17.8% | X | 17.8% | 4.4% | 8.9% |
| Britni | 2.2% | 6.7% | X | X | 24.4% | 37.8% | X | 22.2% | 6.7% | X |
| Chelsey | X | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Cheyenne | 4.4% | 20.0% | 11.1% | X | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | X | 15.6% | 24.4% |
| Hannah | 6.7% | 6.7% | X | X | 2.2% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 40.0% |
| Kayla | 2.2% | 33.3% | 6.7% | X | 11.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 20.0% |
| Kiki | 26.7% | X | X | X | X | X | 33.3% | X | 40.0% | X |
| Melanie | X | 6.7% | 44.4% | X | X | X | 15.6% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 4.4% |
| Rashida | 4.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | X | 35.6% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 17.8% | X | 2.2% |
| Stacey | 42.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | X | 8.9% | X | 20.0% | 11.1% | 2.2% | X |
They're going to have to be careful in the matchup ceremony because Kiki has to be picked by one of the three guys here.
10:36: Good that Alec is staying focused on Stacey. They're the most likely couple left.
10:42: Seems ominous that they keep mentioning that Kiki only has three possibilities...
10:45: Alec and Mike passing on Kiki force Tyler's hand... Tyler picking someone else is bad for them because it caps their number of possible correct matches at 8, but it's not the end of the world for him to pick someone else.
Matchup Ceremony
- Mike - Melanie (repeat from episode 6)
- Hunter - Britni (repeat from episodes 1, 3, 6)
- Alec - Stacey (repeat from episodes 1, 3, 5, 6)
- Tyler - Cheyenne (repeat from episodes 3, 7)
- Chuck - Amanda (repeat from episode 6)
- Devin - Rashida (repeat from episodes 3, 6)
- Zak - Hannah (repeat from episodes 3, 7)
- Nelson - Kayla
- Austin - Kiki (confirmed no match)
Odds of blackout are 1 out of 45: 0.2%. BUT... in a twist, if they get a blackout here, we'll actually know the exact set of perfect matches. There's only one possibility with 1 light on.
They get 3 lights, which actually was the worst outcome in terms of eliminating options. There are 23 combinations left, with some inferred non-matches.
They get 3 lights, which actually was the worst outcome in terms of eliminating options. There are 23 combinations left, with some inferred non-matches.
| Alec | Austin | Chuck | Connor | Devin | Hunter | Mike | Nelson | Tyler | Zak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda | 13.0% | 4.3% | 13.0% | X | 8.7% | 17.4% | X | 26.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Britni | 4.3% | 8.7% | X | X | 17.4% | 34.8% | X | 26.1% | 8.7% | X |
| Chelsey | X | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Cheyenne | X | 26.1% | 4.3% | X | X | 4.3% | 4.3% | X | 26.1% | 34.8% |
| Hannah | 8.7% | 13.0% | X | X | X | 26.1% | 17.4% | 8.7% | X | 26.1% |
| Kayla | 4.3% | 30.4% | 4.3% | X | 13.0% | 8.7% | X | X | 13.0% | 26.1% |
| Kiki | 26.1% | X | X | X | X | X | 43.5% | X | 30.4% | X |
| Melanie | X | 8.7% | 60.9% | X | X | X | 4.3% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Rashida | 4.3% | X | 4.3% | X | 56.5% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | X | X |
| Stacey | 39.1% | 8.7% | 13.0% | X | 4.3% | X | 17.4% | 13.0% | 4.3% | X |
The 23 possibilities left after the jump... pick a number and vote in the comments!
