Showing posts with label Season 8 Episode 9. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Season 8 Episode 9. Show all posts

Monday, August 12, 2019

Season 8, Episode 9 Probabilities - Live Blog

Mondays at 11:03pm are rough. Let's hope to get some momentum... not much after last week's lack of matchup ceremony and no new info.

11:06: Danny captures the dynamic of this season, where everyone is chasing someone else... with him being the person at the end of the chain.

11:07: Remy loves that Paige is playing hard to get. Kari is interested in Remy... the chase continues.

11:09: The AYTO party is the producers' easiest way to instigate things in the house... and sure enough it's happening. Max is frustrated with Justin doing what he wants, and Nour frustrated with Kai doing what he wants.

11:12: The Nour-Jasmine fight escalates and now the crew steps in. Hard to imagine they'll figure out they're a match...

11:16: It's Paige escalating the fight?? Danny and Remy reacting to this.

11:19: Justin is trying to get a little something from everyone in the house during this party, starting with Amber and also Kari.

11:27: Nour is done with Kai. "Walk away."

11:28: Kai has bounced around the whole house, looking for love from everyone. This party doesn't feel great for his mental health.

11:31: It's the morning after.

11:35: Paige and Remy finally start to hit it off.

11:37: Basit levels with Kai.

11:42: Jonathan has totally flipped from the first half of the season. Now he's very caring with Basit. This feels as much of a honeymoon as we've seen in the series - maybe that's why the producers told us they were a perfect match?

11:44: This episode has had more cuts than any other episode... seems like they are killing time on the way to having a matchup ceremony at the end of the episode.

The entire pool is staring at Kai.

11:46: This has become the Kai intervention. Feels like they need to put in the Basit and Jonathan segments just to avoid making this entire season just about Kai.

11:52: Hey, it's the matchup ceremony music! And the first Terrence J appearance of the episode. Welcome back Brandon and Aasha.

Matchup Ceremony #7
  • Kari - Remy
  • Kai - Jasmine (previously inferred no match)
  • Justin - Max (repeat from ceremonies 1, 4, and 6)
  • Jonathan - Basit (previosuly inferred perfect match)
  • Nour - Kylie (previously inferred no match)
  • Danny - Amber (previously inferred no match)
  • Paige - Jenna (repeat from ceremony 4)
Blackout probability: 0%
Instant win possible: No
Maximum number of lights: 4
Most likely number of lights: 3

There will still be possibilities no matter the number of beams. 3 beams narrows it to 9 combinations. 4 beams leaves just 2, confirming Danny and Kai, Jenna and Paige.

Instead, we get 3 beams, leaving 9 possibilities and no new matches.
AashaAmberBasitBrandonDannyJasmineJennaJonathan
AashaXXXMatchXXXX
AmberXXXXXXXX
BasitXXXXXXXMatch
BrandonMatchXXXXXXX
DannyXXXXXXXX
JasmineXXXXXXXX
JennaXXXXXXXX
JonathanXXMatchXXXXX
JustinX11.1%XXXXXX
KaiXXXX88.9%XXX
KariX22.2%XXXX11.1%X
KylieX22.2%XX11.1%XXX
MaxX11.1%XXXXXX
NourXXXXXMatchXX
PaigeX11.1%XXXX88.9%X
RemyX22.2%XXXXXX
JustinKaiKariKylieMaxNourPaigeRemy
AashaXXXXXXXX
Amber11.1%X22.2%22.2%11.1%X11.1%22.2%
BasitXXXXXXXX
BrandonXXXXXXXX
DannyX88.9%X11.1%XXXX
JasmineXXXXXMatchXX
JennaXX11.1%XXX88.9%X
JonathanXXXXXXXX
JustinXX33.3%22.2%11.1%XX22.2%
KaiXXXXXXX11.1%
Kari33.3%XXX33.3%XXX
Kylie22.2%XXX22.2%XX22.2%
Max11.1%X33.3%22.2%XXX22.2%
NourXXXXXXXX
PaigeXXXXXXXX
Remy22.2%11.1%X22.2%22.2%XXX
  1. Amber-Justin, Danny-Kai, Jenna-Paige, Kari-Max, Kylie-Remy
  2. Amber-Kari, Danny-Kai, Jenna-Paige, Justin-Kylie, Max-Remy
  3. Amber-Kari, Danny-Kai, Jenna-Paige, Justin-Remy, Kylie-Max
  4. Amber-Kylie, Danny-Kai, Jenna-Paige, Justin-Kari, Max-Remy
  5. Amber-Kylie, Danny-Kai, Jenna-Paige, Justin-Remy, Kari-Max
  6. Amber-Max, Danny-Kai, Jenna-Paige, Justin-Kari, Kylie-Remy
  7. Amber-Paige, Danny-Kylie, Jenna-Kari, Justin-Max, Kai-Remy
  8. Amber-Remy, Danny-Kai, Jenna-Paige, Justin-Kari, Kylie-Max
  9. Amber-Remy, Danny-Kai, Jenna-Paige, Justin-Kylie, Kari-Max
The VMAs are in two Mondays and there is no Are You The One? episode on the schedule. The next episode's previews mention three new perfect matches. Could this mean just 10 episodes? Doesn't seem like it after the matchup ceremony... but the preview suggests a resolution to the Justin - Max and Danny - Kai dynamic... if they try the only Justin - Max combo left, they might win it.