Showing posts with label Season 9 Episode 3. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Season 9 Episode 3. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 25, 2023

Season 9, Episode 3 Probabilities

Truth Booth #2

Hamudi and Anissa go into the Truth Booth and are not a match.

AqelBrendanClayEduardoHamudiLeoMikeyNathanOllieSamuelWill
Anissa11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%X11.0%11.0%12.3%X11.0%11.0%
Brooke9.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%X9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
CC9.7%X9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
CourtneyX9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
Danielle9.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%X11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
Dew9.7%9.7%X9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
Jordanne9.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%X
Julia Ruth9.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%X9.7%
Mijntje9.9%9.9%9.9%9.9%11.2%9.9%9.9%X10.0%9.9%9.9%
Roz9.7%9.7%9.7%X11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
Taylor11.1%11.1%11.1%11.1%X11.1%11.1%X11.2%11.1%11.1%

11,895,985 possibilities remain.

Matchup Ceremony #2
  • Anissa - Aqel
  • CC - Clay
  • Danielle - Eduardo
  • Mijntje - Hamudi
  • Brooke - Ollie
  • Roz - Mikey
  • Dew - Samuel
  • Julia Ruth - Nathan
  • Jordanne - Brendan
  • Taylor - Will
  • Courtney - Leo

Blackout probability: 32.5% (3,865,932 of 11,895,985)
Instant win possible: Yes
Most likely number of lights: 1

2 beams. 2,441,740 combinations left.

AqelBrendanClayEduardoHamudiLeoMikeyNathanOllieSamuelWill
Anissa19.5%9.9%10.0%10.0%X10.0%10.0%11.0%X9.9%9.8%
Brooke8.9%9.0%9.0%9.0%10.0%X9.0%9.9%17.5%9.0%8.8%
CC8.9%X17.3%9.0%10.0%9.0%9.0%9.9%9.1%9.0%8.8%
CourtneyX9.0%9.0%9.0%10.0%17.3%9.0%9.9%9.1%9.0%8.8%
Danielle8.9%9.0%9.0%17.3%10.0%9.0%X9.9%9.1%9.0%8.8%
Dew8.9%9.0%X9.0%10.0%9.0%9.0%9.9%9.1%17.3%8.8%
Jordanne8.8%17.3%9.0%9.0%10.0%9.0%9.0%9.9%9.1%9.0%X
Julia Ruth8.7%8.8%8.9%8.9%9.9%8.8%8.9%19.5%8.9%X8.7%
Mijntje8.8%8.9%8.9%8.9%20.0%8.9%8.9%X9.0%8.9%8.8%
Roz8.9%9.0%9.0%X10.0%9.0%17.3%9.9%9.1%9.0%8.8%
Taylor9.9%10.1%10.0%10.0%X10.0%10.0%X10.1%10.0%19.8%