Brooke and Ollie are the top couple by the numbers, and Julia Ruth and Brendan agree, picking them for the Truth Booth. It's a perfect match!
| Aqel | Brendan | Clay | Eduardo | Hamudi | Leo | Mikey | Nathan | Ollie | Samuel | Will | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anissa | 37.8% | X | 12.5% | 6.1% | X | 5.0% | 7.2% | 17.8% | X | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| Brooke | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | Match | X | X |
| CC | 9.6% | X | X | 12.4% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 26.1% | X | 12.1% | 11.7% |
| Courtney | X | X | 12.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 16.4% | X | 7.3% | 28.7% |
| Danielle | 7.1% | X | 15.7% | 9.4% | 27.6% | X | X | 20.2% | X | 8.0% | 11.9% |
| Dew | 11.2% | X | X | 14.1% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | X | X | 17.6% | 14.2% |
| Jordanne | 6.1% | X | 14.3% | 22.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 19.5% | X | 8.9% | X |
| Julia Ruth | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Mijntje | 10.2% | X | 19.9% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 20.3% | X | X | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Roz | 8.2% | X | X | X | 15.2% | 12.4% | 20.9% | X | X | 27.1% | 16.2% |
| Taylor | 9.6% | X | 25.3% | 14.9% | X | 35.6% | 13.7% | X | X | 0.8% | X |
That narrows it to 1,485 possibilities. Two more inferred no matches: Nathan - Dew (from ceremonies 4 and 5) and Clay - Roz (from ceremony 5).
Matchup Ceremony #6
- Taylor - Clay
- Roz - Hamudi
- Dew - Eduardo
- Mijntje - Aqel
- Courtney - Nathan
- Anissa - Samuel
- CC - Mikey (repeat from ceremonies 4 and 5)
- Jordanne - Leo
- Danielle - Will
Instant win possible: No, did not repeat enough couples from ceremonies 2 and 3
Maximum number of lights: 8
Most likely number of lights: 3
It's 3 beams yet again, which leaves 556 combinations. Not much new info here given the large number of new couples.
| Aqel | Brendan | Clay | Eduardo | Hamudi | Leo | Mikey | Nathan | Ollie | Samuel | Will | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anissa | 36.7% | X | 12.2% | 5.6% | X | 5.0% | 7.4% | 20.1% | X | 5.9% | 7.0% |
| Brooke | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | Match | X | X |
| CC | 10.8% | X | X | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 25.0% | X | 11.5% | 12.2% |
| Courtney | X | X | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.7% | X | 7.0% | 28.2% |
| Danielle | 8.3% | X | 15.8% | 9.0% | 28.8% | X | X | 20.3% | X | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Dew | 11.3% | X | X | 12.1% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 13.8% | X | X | 19.4% | 14.9% |
| Jordanne | 6.7% | X | 14.4% | 23.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 19.8% | X | 9.4% | X |
| Julia Ruth | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Mijntje | 8.5% | X | 20.1% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 19.2% | X | X | 11.0% | 12.4% |
| Roz | 9.4% | X | X | X | 16.2% | 12.4% | 20.0% | X | X | 26.1% | 16.0% |
| Taylor | 8.5% | X | 24.3% | 14.7% | X | 37.2% | 14.2% | X | X | 1.1% | X |
Your math is a little off to me. You have Mijntje and Hamudi being only a 6.7% match yet Anissa and Aqel being 36.7% but if Taylor and leo are a match and Roz and Samuel, Anissa and Aqel are no matches. I think you are a little ahead of yourself on some of this. For week 3 only two perfect matches can be accounted for, and you have everyone from that week as the highest probability. It is not possible for all to be their matches.
ReplyDeleteSince we know that Brooke and Ollie are one of the two perfect matches in episode 3 (MC2), the percentages for all the couples remaining in that matchup actually add to 100%.
DeleteAnissa - Aqel 36.7%
Roz - Mikey 20%
Dew - Samuel 19.4%
Danielle - Eduardo 9.0%
Courtney - Leo 8.3%
Mijntje - Hamudi 6.7%
CC - Clay 0%
Julia Ruth - Nathan 0%
Jordanne - Brendan 0%
Taylor - Will 0%
It is possible that multiple women can have their MC2 partner as their likeliest match, even though only one remaining couple from MC2 is a match.