There are reports (original) that an Are You The One? spinoff is occurring with six of this season's cast members. I have not seen any official indication from MTV about this show or these cast members being together. This post will keep track of known combinations given the assumption that there are three pairs of perfect matches within those six contestants. These possible perfect matches are still possible through episode 7.
See the original episode 7 post if you do not want to be spoiled by this info. (I will go back and add in prior episode information later.)
Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Season 5, Episode 7 Probabilities
No live blog tonight.
Truth Booth
Andre and Taylor went into the Truth Booth. We've known since Episode 5 that they weren't a perfect match. No progress!
They were offered the Truth Booth trade, but declined it. Obviously, it would have been a better deal to take the trade.
Matchup Ceremony
Instant win possible: No, repeated more than 4 couples from episode 4
Maximum number of lights: 8
Most likely number of lights: 4
4 beams means 84 combinations remain.
Read more for all 84 possibilities...
Truth Booth
Andre and Taylor went into the Truth Booth. We've known since Episode 5 that they weren't a perfect match. No progress!
They were offered the Truth Booth trade, but declined it. Obviously, it would have been a better deal to take the trade.
Matchup Ceremony
- Casandra - Andre (repeat from episode 4)
- Alicia - Ozzy
- Shannon - Tyler (repeat from episodes 3-6)
- Taylor - Osvaldo (repeat from episode 4)
- Kari - Derrick
- Kathryn - Joey (repeat from episodes 3-6)
- Tyranny - Jaylan (repeat from episode 4)
- Hannah - Michael (repeat from episode 1)
- Gianna - Mike
- Carolina - Hayden (repeat from episodes 3-6)
Instant win possible: No, repeated more than 4 couples from episode 4
Maximum number of lights: 8
Most likely number of lights: 4
4 beams means 84 combinations remain.
| Andre | Derrick | Edward | Hayden | Jaylan | Joey | Michael | Mike | Osvaldo | Ozzy | Tyler | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia | X | X | X | 6.0% | 22.6% | 4.8% | X | 40.5% | 20.2% | X | 6.0% |
| Carolina | 10.7% | 16.7% | X | 54.8% | 7.1% | X | X | 2.4% | 4.8% | X | 3.6% |
| Casandra | 52.4% | 26.2% | X | 6.0% | X | 3.6% | 2.4% | X | 3.6% | X | 6.0% |
| Gianna | X | 6.0% | X | X | 3.6% | 1.2% | X | X | X | 86.9% | 2.4% |
| Hannah | X | 7.1% | X | 15.5% | X | 14.3% | X | 22.6% | 22.6% | X | 17.9% |
| Kam | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kari | X | X | X | X | 2.4% | X | 94.0% | 1.2% | X | 2.4% | X |
| Kathryn | 14.3% | X | X | 3.6% | 8.3% | 59.5% | X | 2.4% | 7.1% | X | 4.8% |
| Shannon | 11.9% | 13.1% | X | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 51.2% |
| Taylor | X | 31.0% | X | X | 6.0% | 6.0% | X | 8.3% | 38.1% | 2.4% | 8.3% |
| Tyranny | 10.7% | X | X | 10.7% | 44.0% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 20.2% | X | 4.8% | X |
Read more for all 84 possibilities...
Wednesday, February 15, 2017
Season 5, Episode 6 Probabilities - Live Blog
9:01 N: Kam seems like she is being fake nice to Edward.
9:02 A: Our first sights of the Dominican honeymoon suite.
9:03 N: "Fit together right"
9:05 A: Tyler trying to make himself the villain of the show... and Gianna is freaking out.
9:07 A: Dirt time... Tyler hooked up with like 3 girls in a row?
9:11 N: Gianna is sooooooo territorial.
9:12 N: Michael said he was playing Pokemon up until 12 years old as if it's a bad thing...
9:15 A: Carolina answers three questions in a row... but is out. Hannah takes Ozzy (25.6%) and Shannon brings Tyler (57.1%) on the date. Two strong matchups.
9:19 A: Andre and Taylor definitely enjoying each others' company... but readers here know that they're actually not a match. Troublesome!
9:17 N: Casandra and Joey are adorable and their first argument is over area codes.
9:20 N: How will Tyler react in a truth booth? Will he have that same dumb look?
9:27 A: They go from at each others' throats to kissing and wanting to figure things out?
Truth Booth
9:31 A: Shannon is right that this is the biggest Truth Booth of the season!
9:36 A: It's Hannah and Ozzy!
9:37 A: No match! 232 combinations left.
9:38 A: Kari advocating for Cass and Ozzy to pair together and Hannah and Jaylan to pair together, effectively turning the matchup ceremony into a Casandra - Jaylan (10.3%) truth booth, as they are a repeat from episode 1. Not sure that's worth it...
9:39 N: And it's the second confirmed "no match" spending time in the boom boom room!
9:43 A: Alicia once again moving in quickly. Tyranny and Hannah are out on her.
Matchup Ceremony
Instant win possible: No, did not repeat two matches from episode 1.
Maximum number of lights: 5
Most likely number of lights: 4
9:57 A: Because they followed Kari's strategy, 3 beams means that Casandra and Jaylan are a perfect match. 4 means all of Casandra - Jaylan, Casandra - Ozzy, and Hannah - Jaylan are no matches. 5 means one of Casandra - Ozzy or Hannah - Jaylan are a perfect match. The data indicates that it's not possible for both of those couples to be a perfect match. There are no other beam combinations.
10:01 A: It's 4 beams of light, meaning all three couples are inferred no matches. Ryan is blunt: the house is failing. They only go down to 165 possibilities.
10:04 A: Andre eating cold fish sticks and tartar sauce on the AfterMatch. Yuck.
9:02 A: Our first sights of the Dominican honeymoon suite.
9:03 N: "Fit together right"
9:05 A: Tyler trying to make himself the villain of the show... and Gianna is freaking out.
9:07 A: Dirt time... Tyler hooked up with like 3 girls in a row?
9:11 N: Gianna is sooooooo territorial.
9:12 N: Michael said he was playing Pokemon up until 12 years old as if it's a bad thing...
9:15 A: Carolina answers three questions in a row... but is out. Hannah takes Ozzy (25.6%) and Shannon brings Tyler (57.1%) on the date. Two strong matchups.
9:19 A: Andre and Taylor definitely enjoying each others' company... but readers here know that they're actually not a match. Troublesome!
9:17 N: Casandra and Joey are adorable and their first argument is over area codes.
9:20 N: How will Tyler react in a truth booth? Will he have that same dumb look?
9:27 A: They go from at each others' throats to kissing and wanting to figure things out?
Truth Booth
9:31 A: Shannon is right that this is the biggest Truth Booth of the season!
9:36 A: It's Hannah and Ozzy!
9:37 A: No match! 232 combinations left.
| Andre | Derrick | Edward | Hayden | Jaylan | Joey | Michael | Mike | Osvaldo | Ozzy | Tyler | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia | X | X | X | 5.2% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 12.1% | 37.5% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Carolina | 8.2% | 9.1% | X | 68.1% | 3.9% | X | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | X | 2.2% |
| Casandra | 46.6% | 16.8% | X | 3.4% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | X | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Gianna | 9.1% | 26.3% | X | X | 5.6% | 3.0% | X | 3.9% | 3.9% | 44.4% | 3.9% |
| Hannah | X | 8.6% | X | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 26.3% | 20.7% | 11.2% | X | 8.2% |
| Kam | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kari | X | 6.0% | X | 4.7% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 44.4% | 7.8% | X | 17.2% | 5.6% |
| Kathryn | 10.3% | 2.2% | X | 1.7% | 4.7% | 67.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | X | 2.2% |
| Shannon | 9.1% | 7.8% | X | 2.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 61.6% |
| Taylor | X | 16.8% | X | X | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 6.5% | 52.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Tyranny | 16.8% | 6.5% | X | 7.3% | 33.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 13.8% | X | 11.2% | X |
9:38 A: Kari advocating for Cass and Ozzy to pair together and Hannah and Jaylan to pair together, effectively turning the matchup ceremony into a Casandra - Jaylan (10.3%) truth booth, as they are a repeat from episode 1. Not sure that's worth it...
9:39 N: And it's the second confirmed "no match" spending time in the boom boom room!
9:43 A: Alicia once again moving in quickly. Tyranny and Hannah are out on her.
Matchup Ceremony
- Joey - Kathryn (repeat from episodes 3, 4, and 5)
- Andre - Taylor (repeat from episode 5)
- Michael - Kari (repeat from episodes 4 and 5)
- Tyler - Shannon (repeat from episodes 3, 4, and 5)
- Mike - Alicia (repeat from episodes 3 and 5)
- Tyranny - Derrick (repeat from episode 5)
- Carolina - Hayden (repeat from episodes 3, 4, and 5)
- Gianna - Osvaldo (repeat from episode 5)
- Jaylan - Hannah
- Casandra - Ozzy
Instant win possible: No, did not repeat two matches from episode 1.
Maximum number of lights: 5
Most likely number of lights: 4
9:57 A: Because they followed Kari's strategy, 3 beams means that Casandra and Jaylan are a perfect match. 4 means all of Casandra - Jaylan, Casandra - Ozzy, and Hannah - Jaylan are no matches. 5 means one of Casandra - Ozzy or Hannah - Jaylan are a perfect match. The data indicates that it's not possible for both of those couples to be a perfect match. There are no other beam combinations.
10:01 A: It's 4 beams of light, meaning all three couples are inferred no matches. Ryan is blunt: the house is failing. They only go down to 165 possibilities.
| Andre | Derrick | Edward | Hayden | Jaylan | Joey | Michael | Mike | Osvaldo | Ozzy | Tyler | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia | X | X | X | 4.2% | 15.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 43.0% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Carolina | 6.7% | 10.9% | X | 67.9% | 4.8% | X | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.2% | X | 1.8% |
| Casandra | 57.0% | 18.8% | X | 4.8% | X | 3.0% | 3.0% | X | 7.3% | X | 6.1% |
| Gianna | 7.3% | 16.4% | X | X | 7.9% | 3.0% | X | 4.2% | 5.5% | 51.5% | 4.2% |
| Hannah | X | 9.7% | X | 9.1% | X | 9.1% | 29.1% | 18.2% | 14.5% | X | 10.3% |
| Kam | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kari | X | 5.5% | X | 3.0% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 50.9% | 7.3% | X | 14.5% | 3.6% |
| Kathryn | 9.7% | 2.4% | X | 1.8% | 6.1% | 66.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 7.3% | X | 2.4% |
| Shannon | 8.5% | 9.1% | X | 1.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 59.4% |
| Taylor | X | 20.0% | X | X | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 7.3% | 41.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
| Tyranny | 10.9% | 7.3% | X | 7.3% | 40.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 13.3% | X | 13.3% | X |
10:04 A: Andre eating cold fish sticks and tartar sauce on the AfterMatch. Yuck.
Wednesday, February 8, 2017
Season 5, Episode 5 Probabilities - Live Blog
9:02: Product placement!!
9:03: Andre is feeding Taylor what she wants, and she's eating it up. He's good!
9:04: Eddie and Alicia always look like they are having fun.
9:06: Gotta give credit to the producers of this show and Ryan Devlin - they NEVER repeat challenges! It's always something new.
9:09: Back-to-back questions are... have you ever taken a photo of your own poop, and are you capable of opening up emotionally to a woman in the house?
9:15: Girls win the challenge, so it's Kam and Eddie (46%) and Kari and Mike (19.6%).
9:18: Jaylan goes OFF about an eaten chicken wing. Casandra calling Jaylan a funny... dad?
9:19: The closet is the new hot spot?
9:21: Gianna loves the two unattainable guys - Michael and Hayden. Hayden looks really happy going to sleep though.
Truth Booth
9:29: No surprise... it's Kam and Eddie heading to the Truth Booth.
9:32: Perfect match! Our first of the season, leaving 951 possibilities.
9:33: Alicia, Eddie, and Kam all from Jersey.
9:35: Michael making a lot of sense right now.
9:35: The tree house??
9:36: First extended night vision scene... Eddie and Alicia sneak off to bang!!
9:40: Apparently Alicia snuck off and "kissed" Eddie. Bring back the lie detector!!
Matchup Ceremony
9:45: Andre and Derrick getting up.
9:47: OK, the chicken bone and the couch lie detector bit with Gianna and Jaylan was legit funny. Except the ordering of the timing wasn't quite right... bad editing?
Instant win possible: No, repeated more than four of the couples from episodes 3 and 4.
Maximum number of lights: 9
Most likely number of lights: 4
9:56: As it turns out, they repeated enough couples that there was no chance of a blackout. That probably means they weren't taking enough risks tonight.
4 more lights means 312 combinations remain. An interesting twist... Andre and Taylor sat together tonight but are our first inferred no match. That means none of the combinations remaining that match all the rules of the first five Truth Booths and Matchup Ceremonies have Andre and Taylor together.
9:03: Andre is feeding Taylor what she wants, and she's eating it up. He's good!
9:04: Eddie and Alicia always look like they are having fun.
9:06: Gotta give credit to the producers of this show and Ryan Devlin - they NEVER repeat challenges! It's always something new.
9:09: Back-to-back questions are... have you ever taken a photo of your own poop, and are you capable of opening up emotionally to a woman in the house?
9:15: Girls win the challenge, so it's Kam and Eddie (46%) and Kari and Mike (19.6%).
9:18: Jaylan goes OFF about an eaten chicken wing. Casandra calling Jaylan a funny... dad?
9:19: The closet is the new hot spot?
9:21: Gianna loves the two unattainable guys - Michael and Hayden. Hayden looks really happy going to sleep though.
Truth Booth
9:29: No surprise... it's Kam and Eddie heading to the Truth Booth.
9:32: Perfect match! Our first of the season, leaving 951 possibilities.
| Andre | Derrick | Edward | Hayden | Jaylan | Joey | Michael | Mike | Osvaldo | Ozzy | Tyler | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia | X | X | X | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 25.7% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Carolina | 6.0% | 5.9% | X | 68.1% | 2.9% | X | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | X | 2.6% |
| Casandra | 37.6% | 7.8% | X | 3.2% | 26.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | X | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Gianna | 9.6% | 31.7% | X | X | 4.8% | 4.9% | X | 6.6% | 8.0% | 29.7% | 4.7% |
| Hannah | X | 11.8% | X | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 28.8% | 5.8% |
| Kam | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kari | 11.3% | 9.7% | X | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 39.0% | 14.3% | X | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Kathryn | 7.6% | 6.7% | X | 2.4% | 3.6% | 60.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | X | 3.3% |
| Shannon | 6.6% | 6.0% | X | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 57.5% |
| Taylor | 8.7% | 8.1% | X | X | 3.6% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 43.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% |
| Tyranny | 12.6% | 12.4% | X | 6.4% | 33.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | X | 8.8% | X |
9:33: Alicia, Eddie, and Kam all from Jersey.
9:35: Michael making a lot of sense right now.
9:35: The tree house??
9:36: First extended night vision scene... Eddie and Alicia sneak off to bang!!
9:40: Apparently Alicia snuck off and "kissed" Eddie. Bring back the lie detector!!
Matchup Ceremony
9:45: Andre and Derrick getting up.
9:47: OK, the chicken bone and the couch lie detector bit with Gianna and Jaylan was legit funny. Except the ordering of the timing wasn't quite right... bad editing?
- Hannah - Ozzy (repeat from episode 4)
- Carolina - Hayden (repeat from episodes 3 and 4)
- Alicia - Mike (repeat from episode 3)
- Tyranny - Derrick
- Taylor - Andre
- Casandra - Jaylan (repeat from episodes 1 and 3)
- Kari - Michael (repeat from episode 4)
- Kathryn - Joey (repeat from episodes 3 and 4)
- Gianna - Osvaldo
- Shannon - Tyler (repeat from episodes 3 and 4)
Instant win possible: No, repeated more than four of the couples from episodes 3 and 4.
Maximum number of lights: 9
Most likely number of lights: 4
9:56: As it turns out, they repeated enough couples that there was no chance of a blackout. That probably means they weren't taking enough risks tonight.
4 more lights means 312 combinations remain. An interesting twist... Andre and Taylor sat together tonight but are our first inferred no match. That means none of the combinations remaining that match all the rules of the first five Truth Booths and Matchup Ceremonies have Andre and Taylor together.
| Andre | Derrick | Edward | Hayden | Jaylan | Joey | Michael | Mike | Osvaldo | Ozzy | Tyler | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia | X | X | X | 6.1% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 33.7% | 15.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Carolina | 6.7% | 8.0% | X | 67.0% | 3.8% | X | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | X | 2.6% |
| Casandra | 37.2% | 15.1% | X | 4.5% | 14.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | X | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Gianna | 9.0% | 33.7% | X | X | 5.4% | 5.1% | X | 5.8% | 2.9% | 33.0% | 5.1% |
| Hannah | X | 6.4% | X | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 25.6% | 6.1% |
| Kam | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kari | 16.3% | 4.8% | X | 3.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 33.0% | 12.5% | X | 12.8% | 4.8% |
| Kathryn | 8.3% | 7.7% | X | 2.2% | 4.2% | 61.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | X | 2.9% |
| Shannon | 7.1% | 7.1% | X | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 57.1% |
| Taylor | X | 12.5% | X | X | 4.2% | 3.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 49.0% | 5.1% | 9.9% |
| Tyranny | 15.4% | 4.8% | X | 7.7% | 35.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 14.7% | X | 8.3% | X |
Wednesday, February 1, 2017
Season 5, Episode 4 Probabilities - Live Blog
Big push by the house last week to get 4 beams... what's up for them next?
9:05: Gianna not willing to let Hayden up for Carolina.
9:08: This week's challenge is to get dizzy, and then shoot hoops. Third make gets a date!
Jaylan is going after Casandra (40.3%), Ozzy after Hannah (7.1%), Mike after Alicia (34.1%), Osvaldo and Tyranny (40.6%), Kam and Eddie (40.5%). It's Osvaldo and Tyranny making the first date. Both Joey (30.9%) and Derrick (6.2%) going after Kathryn, looks like Kathryn will be going on this date.
9:13: Joey beats out Division I basketball player Derrick for the date!
9:15: Tyranny celebrates winning the trapeze date by making jungle juice for everyone.
9:19: Tyranny on a 7 month dry spell... aaand it's over.
9:24: Shannon, Tyler, and Taylor... Alicia, Kam, and Eddie... lots of triangles going on.
Truth Booth
9:28: Osvaldo and Tyranny going to the Truth Booth... lots of very high expectations. No mention of a trade, but let's do the math anyway.
Estimated value of forfeiting truth booth for $150,000: $56.32
Estimated value of going to the truth booth: $83.68
Estimated value of losing the truth booth: $72.93
It's worth trading the truth booth for approximately: $465,862
9:33: No match... and it's really, incredibly sad. It's been hard to remember a happier couple going into the Truth Booth. Tyranny might be more devastated than any housemate in AYTO history. 48,025 combinations remain.
9:34: Osvaldo hits the punching bag and Tyranny just sits in bed sobbing. This feels like the hardest miss we've ever seen.
9:36: Tyler can't make up his mind... getting torn between Shannon and Taylor. Why not explore both?
9:52: Tyler brings up a good point in that the normal block-an-ex strategy doesn't work in the AYTO house.
Matchup Ceremony
Instant win possible: No, did not repeat two matches from episode 1.
Maximum number of lights: 8
Most likely number of lights: 1
4 beams! 2,067 possibilities left.
9:05: Gianna not willing to let Hayden up for Carolina.
9:08: This week's challenge is to get dizzy, and then shoot hoops. Third make gets a date!
Jaylan is going after Casandra (40.3%), Ozzy after Hannah (7.1%), Mike after Alicia (34.1%), Osvaldo and Tyranny (40.6%), Kam and Eddie (40.5%). It's Osvaldo and Tyranny making the first date. Both Joey (30.9%) and Derrick (6.2%) going after Kathryn, looks like Kathryn will be going on this date.
9:13: Joey beats out Division I basketball player Derrick for the date!
9:15: Tyranny celebrates winning the trapeze date by making jungle juice for everyone.
9:19: Tyranny on a 7 month dry spell... aaand it's over.
9:24: Shannon, Tyler, and Taylor... Alicia, Kam, and Eddie... lots of triangles going on.
Truth Booth
9:28: Osvaldo and Tyranny going to the Truth Booth... lots of very high expectations. No mention of a trade, but let's do the math anyway.
Estimated value of forfeiting truth booth for $150,000: $56.32
Estimated value of going to the truth booth: $83.68
Estimated value of losing the truth booth: $72.93
It's worth trading the truth booth for approximately: $465,862
9:33: No match... and it's really, incredibly sad. It's been hard to remember a happier couple going into the Truth Booth. Tyranny might be more devastated than any housemate in AYTO history. 48,025 combinations remain.
| Andre | Derrick | Edward | Hayden | Jaylan | Joey | Michael | Mike | Osvaldo | Ozzy | Tyler | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia | X | X | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 35.4% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% |
| Carolina | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 37.7% | 5.6% | X | 7.5% | 7.2% | 12.1% | X | 8.7% |
| Casandra | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 50.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | X | 9.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% |
| Gianna | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | X | 2.7% | 5.3% | X | 4.5% | 8.7% | 59.8% | 5.5% |
| Hannah | X | 32.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% |
| Kam | 5.9% | 5.3% | 50.9% | 5.2% | X | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 5.8% |
| Kari | 37.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | X | 4.8% | 8.5% |
| Kathryn | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 32.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | X | 8.2% |
| Shannon | 7.9% | 7.6% | X | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 32.1% |
| Taylor | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | X | 5.6% | 7.9% | 31.4% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% |
| Tyranny | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | X | 8.8% | X |
9:34: Osvaldo hits the punching bag and Tyranny just sits in bed sobbing. This feels like the hardest miss we've ever seen.
9:36: Tyler can't make up his mind... getting torn between Shannon and Taylor. Why not explore both?
9:52: Tyler brings up a good point in that the normal block-an-ex strategy doesn't work in the AYTO house.
Matchup Ceremony
- Mike - Kam
- Ozzy - Hannah
- Osvaldo - Taylor
- Andre - Casandra
- Edward - Alicia
- Joey - Kathryn (repeat from episode 3)
- Derrick - Gianna
- Tyler - Shannon (repeat from episode 3)
- Michael - Kari
- Hayden - Carolina (repeat from episode 3)
- Jaylan - Tyranny
Instant win possible: No, did not repeat two matches from episode 1.
Maximum number of lights: 8
Most likely number of lights: 1
4 beams! 2,067 possibilities left.
| Andre | Derrick | Edward | Hayden | Jaylan | Joey | Michael | Mike | Osvaldo | Ozzy | Tyler | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia | X | X | 25.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 20.3% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| Carolina | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 70.8% | 2.3% | X | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | X | 2.2% |
| Casandra | 25.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 43.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | X | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Gianna | 7.2% | 21.6% | 1.9% | X | 2.2% | 3.7% | X | 4.3% | 6.3% | 49.8% | 3.1% |
| Hannah | X | 16.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 19.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 4.6% |
| Kam | 7.5% | 6.1% | 46.0% | 2.8% | X | 3.5% | 4.7% | 16.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% |
| Kari | 18.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 30.3% | 19.6% | X | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| Kathryn | 6.7% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 61.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | X | 2.1% |
| Shannon | 6.4% | 5.4% | X | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 62.0% |
| Taylor | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% | X | 3.1% | 4.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 38.7% | 4.0% | 9.7% |
| Tyranny | 13.7% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 28.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | X | 7.5% | X |
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