Monday, August 19, 2019

Season 8, Episode 10 Probabilities - Live Blog

Another late episode. Is tonight the end or do they keep going?

11:07: Amber and Justin. Danny and Kai. I'm tired...

11:09: Miss Jello and Miss Hello, fortunetellers.

11:11: Some new angles in this episode... some more into Jenna and Paige... crying Remy.

11:16: The challenge is assembling an Ikea nightstand, with one person assembling and the other person talking through the instructions. Basit and Justin are forcibly paired together by Terrence J? Leaving Amber to go off with Max. And no chance at the Basit-Jonathan or Justin-Max date?

11:21: The date winners are Amber - Max (11.1%), Danny - Nour (no match), and Remy - Paige (no match). They win a helicopter ride to the Kohala Valley!

11:25: Imagine Dragons and helicopters around the coast. Pretty cool.

11:27: Amber and Max both make their date all about Justin. Weird.

11:29: Paige unloading her baggage with Remy... and then they get unloaded on by... what Paige calls a golden shower? (I think she meant sun shower?)

Truth Booth #8

Not much of a surprise, Paige and Remy going to the Truth Booth. They've been setting this up... time for another season to turn emotionally, as we already know they aren't a perfect match. No new information, still the same 9 combinations left.

11:36: Kari starts flipping out about the house losing. Is this a pep talk? A call for strategy?

11:40: Danny starts touting going through the process systematically... and then they figure out that Basit and Jonathan are a match. Cool. Jasmine and Nour too and they are suddenly acting cool together. There are two of your matches that find each other in this episode... who's the third?

11:42: Justin has him and Max at 50-50, which is... not quite right.

11:43: Are they using the spatula as a microphone?

11:44: It sure seems like they're going to try to run Justin and Max out there.

11:48: Jasmine and Nour went from at each others' throats to drinking wide on the beach.

11:51: Danny coming on strong with the empathy right now.

11:52: Justin and Max seem both really stressed. Do they know they can couple up outside of the game? Have they seen previous seasons? Aside, it doesn't feel like there's a couple this season planning to pair up against the matchmakers' choice after the season is over, like there have been in other seasons.

Matchup Ceremony #8
  • Jasmine - Nour (previously inferred perfect match)
  • Basit - Jonathan (previously inferred perfect match)
  • Max - Justin
  • Kylie - Danny
  • Kai - Remy
  • Amber - Paige
  • Jenna - Kari
Blackout probability: 0%
Instant win possible: Yes
Maximum number of lights: 8
Most likely number of lights: 3

11:58: Total 180 with Jasmine and Nour. Terrence J sees a future politician.

11:59: Justin looks like Russell Wilson but Max is dressed like Cam Newton.

12:00: It's the instant win situation. Danny is correct in that if they see more than 3 beams, Justin and Max are a perfect match. Not only that... more than 3 beams is a win. 3 beams means Danny and Kai are a match, as are Jenna and Paige.

12:02: One minute left. And... they cut to the next episode.

12:03: Bad news, Jax stans! The preview for the next episode in two weeks suggests there's another matchup ceremony and more show... which would mean they're not a match, given that we know there's only one working possibility where the two of them are a couple - the one they picked tonight. The only hope is that the preview is a fakeout and the whole next episode is a reunion episode.

25 comments:

  1. They said on Instagram that there are 3 more episodes, today and 2 more!

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  2. Because they still have so many episodes I'm guessing they're preventing strong couples from going in

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  3. im so proud that the house started playing with their brains

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  4. JAX can't be a perfect match because the game would be over if they won and there are clearly more matchups :(

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  5. Lmfao Max dressed like Cam Newtom that is spot on!!!

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  6. Max's face and outfit look like death 😂 like Meet Joe Black

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  7. Jasmine and Nour who would have guessed it? I love Jonathan and Bassit. Jenna is hot. I don't like how they left us hanging. I like this season.

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  8. I'm happy they started doing the math for themselves this time and confirmed a couple matches without the truth booth.

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  9. they act like they can't just couple up after the show. So dramatic.

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  10. I think the 'more episodes' might be a fake out and they just won. They'll show a reunion or something instead.

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  11. I think they’ll win! Since max and Justin aren’t a match now they have 5/8 of the matches

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  12. If you do the math, there’s a 50/50 chance that either Max or Kari or Justin and Kari is a match. I’m just going to take a lucky guess and say that it’s Max and Kari. Then there’s a 50/50 chance that either Kylie or Amber or Remy or Amber is a match so I would say that Remy and Amber is a match. Then that leaves you with just Justin and Kylie.

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  13. Why did they have to leave us waiting wtf

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  14. Maybe they went that 3 new matches would be revealed after this episode. So, Jasmine and Nour and from the ceremony, if that isn't the winning combination... Kai and Danny & Paige and Jenna are revealed. OR
    Just that after the ceremony, they'll be able to deduce that Kai/Danny are a match. Which is 3 with Basit and Jonathan & Jasmine and Nour.

    Either way... I hope that is NOT the winning combination.

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  15. We the queer are so clever that we won the money two weeks earlier, i'm sure next episode is a rewind and the one after that will be the reunion bc they already won. I hope the next season is a queer one again or at least put some Bi people so it will be more shocking for the straights lol

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  16. Dios quien hace este blog max y justin se confirma con el apagón en la ceremonia del capítulo 6. kylie y aasha lo dijeron en dicha y remy le echaron en cara a jonathan en el capítulo 7.

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    Replies
    1. Alguien que sabe más de matemáticas que tú ;)

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  17. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  18. That's a "speaking spatula!". With large groups, it's often helpful to have an object and only the person holding that object is allowed to speak, so people don't just talk over one another.

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  19. Isn't there still a chance that Kari could be with Amber?
    Also the max number of beams is 8, not 10.

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  20. I sure hope Justin and Max are a match for the sake of Danny. He`s such a nice guy and deserves much better than Kai.

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  21. SPOILER ALERT: Look at the description of Episode 11. My Jax heart is hurting.

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