As expected, we start off with Tevin and Kenya being a perfect match, with 128 combinations remaining.
| Andrew | Brett | Cam | Daniel | Kwasi | Lewis | Moe | Shamoy | Tevin | Tomas | Zak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | X | 18.8% | 20.3% | 4.7% | 26.6% | X | 14.1% | X | X | 15.6% | X |
| Bria | 4.7% | 4.7% | 12.5% | 26.6% | 4.7% | 14.1% | 21.9% | X | X | 10.9% | X |
| Cali | 25.8% | X | X | 21.9% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | X | X | X | 8.6% |
| Jasmine | 4.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 20.3% | 29.7% | X | X | 15.6% | 1.6% |
| Kayla | 25.8% | X | X | 21.9% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | X | X | X | 8.6% |
| Kenya | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | Match | X | X |
| Lauren | 12.5% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 1.6% | 12.5% | 21.9% | 1.6% | X | X | 17.2% | X |
| Maria | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | Match | X | X | X |
| Morgan | 3.1% | X | 6.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | X | X | 6.2% | 70.3% |
| Nutsa | X | 42.2% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | X | X | X | 17.2% | X |
| Samantha | 23.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 3.1% | X | X | 17.2% | 10.9% |
10:05: Some low-probability couples going on ... Samantha is convinced that Tevin and Kenya having some friction means Daniel could still be her match. Kwasi and Jasmine go out for a date.
Matchup Ceremony #8
- Asia - Daniel
- Lauren - Cam
- Bria - Lewis (repeat from ceremonies 6 and 7)
- Samantha - Andrew (repeat from ceremony 5)
- Kayla - Moe
- Cali - Zak
- Morgan - Tomas
- Nutsa - Brett (repeat from ceremonies 5, 6, and 7)
- Jasmine - Kwasi (repeat from ceremonies 3 and 5)
Instant win possible: No (fewer than 3 couples repeated from ceremony 1)
Maximum number of lights: 6
Most likely number of lights: 3
10:23: 4 beams means 34 possibilities left. Possibilities after the jump.
| Andrew | Brett | Cam | Daniel | Kwasi | Lewis | Moe | Shamoy | Tevin | Tomas | Zak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | X | X | 26.5% | 8.8% | 23.5% | X | 14.7% | X | X | 26.5% | X |
| Bria | 2.9% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 14.7% | 32.4% | X | X | 14.7% | X |
| Cali | 20.6% | X | X | 20.6% | 23.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | X | X | X | 14.7% |
| Jasmine | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 8.8% | X | 23.5% | 8.8% | X | X | 14.7% | 5.9% |
| Kayla | 17.6% | X | X | 17.6% | 26.5% | 2.9% | 23.5% | X | X | X | 11.8% |
| Kenya | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | Match | X | X |
| Lauren | 14.7% | 5.9% | 35.3% | 2.9% | 17.6% | 14.7% | X | X | X | 8.8% | X |
| Maria | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | Match | X | X | X |
| Morgan | 5.9% | X | 8.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | X | X | 8.8% | 61.8% |
| Nutsa | X | 67.6% | 2.9% | 14.7% | X | X | X | X | X | 14.7% | X |
| Samantha | 26.5% | 8.8% | X | 8.8% | 2.9% | 29.4% | 5.9% | X | X | 11.8% | 5.9% |
10:26: Jasmine and Morgan expressing their frustration about not having enough sex. Jasmine apparently has been holding out. Morgan... runs into Zak immediately after this conversation, and then closes the door.
10:31: Weirdly, feels like Morgan's attitude towards sex with Zak fits pretty well with him. They're the second-highest probability couple.
10:32: Lots of fighting. People seem more concerned with fighting than trying to figure out their matches.
10:36: Brett's Fate Button press puts Jasmine and Samantha on the date.
10:37: Cali's Fate Button press sends off Tomas and Cam. Most likely couple is either Jasmine and either Tomas and Cam - 14.7% each.
10:40: Samantha and Cam seem to be hitting it off... but they're not a match. We already know this.
10:43: Tomas... has no game. Jasmine not impressed with his love of High School Musical.
Truth Booth #9
10:48: Cam and Jasmine kissed, and Kwasi is not happy with that.
10:51: Cam and Samantha head off to the Truth Booth... we know they are not a match. So it's still 34 combinations remaining.
Two wasted Truth Booths in a row... and now, the possibility that we may not know all of the matches by the end of the 10th matchup ceremony seems to be very real. This aimless house has a ton of people in it who aren't feeling anyone!
10:59: Kwasi is fed up with Jasmine... potentially a good move as they are also not a match.
11:00: Wow, total meltdown by Kwasi! Andrew is hyped that they're close... but they're not.
Full list of combos after the jump...
- Asia - Kwasi, Bria - Tomas, Cali - Moe, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Zak, Lauren - Daniel, Morgan - Cam, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Kwasi, Bria - Cam, Cali - Daniel, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Brett, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Tomas, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Tomas, Cali - Lewis, Jasmine - Moe, Kayla - Zak, Lauren - Kwasi, Morgan - Daniel, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Tomas, Cali - Daniel, Jasmine - Moe, Kayla - Zak, Lauren - Kwasi, Morgan - Lewis, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Lewis, Cali - Moe, Jasmine - Cam, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Brett, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Daniel, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Kwasi, Bria - Moe, Cali - Daniel, Jasmine - Brett, Kayla - Lewis, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Tomas, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Kwasi, Bria - Moe, Cali - Lewis, Jasmine - Brett, Kayla - Daniel, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Tomas, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Kwasi, Bria - Brett, Cali - Moe, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Daniel, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Tomas, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Kwasi, Bria - Brett, Cali - Daniel, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Tomas, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Cam, Samantha - Andrew
- Asia - Moe, Bria - Lewis, Cali - Kwasi, Jasmine - Brett, Kayla - Andrew, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Daniel, Samantha - Tomas
- Asia - Daniel, Bria - Moe, Cali - Kwasi, Jasmine - Cam, Kayla - Andrew, Lauren - Tomas, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Daniel, Bria - Cam, Cali - Moe, Jasmine - Tomas, Kayla - Andrew, Lauren - Kwasi, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Kwasi, Bria - Tomas, Cali - Zak, Jasmine - Cam, Kayla - Daniel, Lauren - Lewis, Morgan - Andrew, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Moe
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Daniel, Cali - Zak, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Andrew, Morgan - Moe, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Tomas
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Daniel, Cali - Kwasi, Jasmine - Tomas, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Andrew, Morgan - Lewis, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Zak
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Daniel, Cali - Lewis, Jasmine - Tomas, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Andrew, Morgan - Kwasi, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Zak
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Cam, Cali - Daniel, Jasmine - Andrew, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Kwasi, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Tomas, Cali - Zak, Jasmine - Moe, Kayla - Daniel, Lauren - Lewis, Morgan - Andrew, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Kwasi
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Cam, Cali - Andrew, Jasmine - Daniel, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Kwasi, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Moe, Cali - Kwasi, Jasmine - Zak, Kayla - Andrew, Lauren - Lewis, Morgan - Tomas, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Daniel
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Moe, Cali - Kwasi, Jasmine - Andrew, Kayla - Zak, Lauren - Lewis, Morgan - Tomas, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Daniel
- Asia - Cam, Bria - Moe, Cali - Andrew, Jasmine - Zak, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Lewis, Morgan - Tomas, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Daniel
- Asia - Moe, Bria - Kwasi, Cali - Zak, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Daniel, Lauren - Andrew, Morgan - Cam, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Tomas
- Asia - Kwasi, Bria - Daniel, Cali - Andrew, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Tomas, Samantha - Brett
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Moe, Cali - Kwasi, Jasmine - Daniel, Kayla - Andrew, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Daniel, Cali - Zak, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Andrew, Morgan - Cam, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Moe
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Moe, Cali - Daniel, Jasmine - Andrew, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Daniel, Bria - Moe, Cali - Andrew, Jasmine - Cam, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Tomas, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Moe, Cali - Kwasi, Jasmine - Andrew, Kayla - Daniel, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Moe, Cali - Andrew, Jasmine - Daniel, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Tomas, Bria - Andrew, Cali - Daniel, Jasmine - Cam, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Kwasi, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Brett, Samantha - Lewis
- Asia - Moe, Bria - Lewis, Cali - Kwasi, Jasmine - Tomas, Kayla - Andrew, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Daniel, Samantha - Brett
- Asia - Moe, Bria - Lewis, Cali - Andrew, Jasmine - Tomas, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Daniel, Samantha - Brett
- Asia - Moe, Bria - Lewis, Cali - Andrew, Jasmine - Brett, Kayla - Kwasi, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Daniel, Samantha - Tomas
I am obsessed with this live blog! Follow it every week while I watch my favorite dating game show :)
ReplyDeleteI already figured it out its option 24!(:
ReplyDeleteHow do you figure? I feel like those options don't make sense, especially Samantha and Brett, he's nothing like what she asked for.
Delete31 is my preference
DeleteMorgan and Zak are a confirmed match i saw on the are you the one page awhile back they accidentally exposed that they were based on the match up ceremonies 24 is the only one that adds up.
DeleteOption 12!
DeleteAsia - Kwasi, Bria - Daniel, Cali - Andrew, Jasmine - Lewis, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Cam, Morgan - Zak, Nutsa - Tomas, Samantha - Brett
DeleteI agree!
31
DeleteOr 17
DeleteIm feeling pretty confident on 31 especially after todays show and the new couples that sat togeather.
DeleteI like 25 & 27
ReplyDeleteKwasi and Lauren are confirmed as well(if Kwasi didn't lie)
DeleteWhere and when did he say this?
DeleteInstagram Live and maybe early in the season, that's when I remember first hearing it
DeleteThey are no where near a match they are legit two different people Cam is deffinitly laurens match she even has a picture of them together on her instagram
DeleteIm sure if he did say that he was joking becasue she is the least likely to ever be his match
DeleteThank you so much for doing this every week!
ReplyDeleteYESSS THANK YOU. ALSO what the heck Kwasi
ReplyDeletewho is lauren? is she even on the show
ReplyDeleteShe is the blonde small town girl who sits with Andrew
ReplyDeleteCan I just say Alex. Thank you for this update week by week. It's definitely highly appreciated. Your are the Man!👏
ReplyDeletemy theory is that every time the fate button is used it gives one perfect match. then it's up to the house to figure out who that match is
ReplyDeleteThat was possible until the most recent episode but now can't be true.
DeleteI think with tevin-kenya, maria-shamoy, zak-morgan,and brett-nutsa all being a match, that only 27 or 30 can work depending on whether cali is with andrew or daniel.
ReplyDeleteI listened to an AYTO podcast with an interview of S6’s Ethan a/k/a Emoney the rapper. He doesn’t even think that there are real matchmakers. He said he thinks they make the contestants fill out multiple forms and questionnaires to get them to buy into the premise, but basically the matches are the producers putting people together for the lolz.
ReplyDeleteyou would think they wouldve done interviews with the matchmakers by now as a end of season debrief if they had them.
DeleteI'm thinking it's #&.
ReplyDelete*7
DeleteThey can get down to 8 combinations by using the following matching ceremony:
ReplyDeleteAndrew-Kayla, Brett-Nutsa, Cam-Lauren, Daniel-Cali, Kwasi-Asia, Lewis-Samantha, Moe-Bria, Shamoy-Maria, Tevin-Kenya, Tomas-Jasmine, Zak-Morgan
See https://blogs.sas.com/content/operations/2018/08/14/are-you-the-one/
Why couldn't it be Asia-Thomas, Bria-Moe, Cali-Daniel, Jasmine-Lewis, Kayla-Kwasi, Lauren-Cam, Morgan-Zak, Nutsa-Brett, Sam-Andrew?? Not saying I think those are the best couples lol, but why couldn't it be a possibility?
ReplyDeleteLook at MatchUp #4. If M/Z and N/B are matches, they and the confirmed matches account for all 4 beams. None of the other matches can be right. Then go back to MatchUp #1. If you eliminate all the wrong combinations based on that information, the only other match left is Samantha and Lewis.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteOops. MatchUp #6. I was looking at the beam number, not the ceremony number. Do what I said, but with #6 and then #1.
DeleteYou can't even have all three of Andrew-Samantha, Brett-Nutsa, Cam-Lauren because of ceremony 8.
DeleteIf you make the assumptions that 1) the unconfirmed couple in MatchUps 3 and 4 is Morgan and Zak and the additional unconfirmed couple in MatchUps 5-7 is Nutsa and Brett, you can back into the unconfirmed couple in MatchUp 1 as Samantha and Lewis.
ReplyDeleteBut then you still have 2 possibilities for the unconfirmed couple in MatchUp 2. It’s either Lauren and Kwasi or Bria and Moe. That’s where I get stuck.
Bria and Moe - I used multiple charts as reference and I truly believe they are a match. I can't figure out the matches for Asia, Cali, Jasmine, Kayla or Lauren & the guys Daniel, Tomas, Andrew, Cam & Kwasi. I think the rest are Kenya-Tevin, Maria-Shamoy, Nutsa-Brett, Morgan-Zak (ughhhh), Bria-Moe, Samantha-Lewis.
DeleteFor now I'm between 3 & 4.
ReplyDeleteHere are my guesses!! I think option 27 would win the money!!!
ReplyDeleteMaria-Shamoy
Kenya-Tevin
Nutsa-Brett
Morgan-Zak
Samantha-Lewis
Bria-Moe
Asia-Tomas
Cali-Daniel
Jasmine-Andrew
Kayla-Kwasi
Lauren-Cam
based on how this show normally matches people up.... it's usually NOT two opposite personalities, it's more likely to be personalities that mesh well together and cause minimal conflict (i guess this is the matchmaker's idea of a successful partnership for life). based on that, i picked out the couples i do notttt rock wit:
ReplyDeletebria + moe, kayla + kwasi, samantha + lewis, samantha + kwasi, morgan + kwasi, morgan + lewis, cali + moe, and kayla + zak
eliminating any of the 34 options with those matches leaves me with #2, 9, 10, 13, 23, 24,and 32.
i think nutsa + tomas would work really well together, and i think samantha + brett would also work really well together! can't wait to see whether the house puts it together or not.
24 is making the most sense!
ReplyDeleteI think you have missed one, which is my pick for winning combo:
ReplyDeleteAsia - Cam
Bria - Daniel
Cali - Zak
Jasmine - Lewis
Kayla - Moe
Kenya - Tevin
Lauren - Andrew
Maria - Shamoy
Morgan - Kwasi
Nutsa - Brett
Samantha - Tomas
BEAMS:
Wk 1: Kenya - Tevin, Lauren - Andrew, Maria - Shamoy
Wk 2: Jasmine - Lewis, Kenya - Tevin, Maria - Shamoy
Wk 3: Kenya - Tevin, Lauren - Andrew, Maria - Shamoy
Wk 4: Asia - Cam, Maria- Shamoy
Wk 5: Bria - Daniel, Kenya - Tevin, Maria - Shamoy, Nutsa - Brett
Wk 6: Kenya - Tevin, Lauren - Andrew, Maria - Shamoy, Nutsa - Brett
Wk 7: Kenya - Tevin, Lauren - Andrew, Maria - Shamoy, Nutsa - Brett
Wk 8: Cali - Zak, Kenya - Tevin, Maria - Shamoy, Nutsa - Brett
Happy to be proven wrong! :)
Kwasi had said on IG live that he and Lauren we're matches...
DeleteTaking that into consideration it can only be worked out thatSam and Lewis are a match, Morgan and Zac which was spoiled by one of the two. You would be off on matches. Zac would have been the saving beam for the week that only had two lights.
I had this too based off the date button giving 1 perfect match but Kayla and Moe sat together for week 8 meaning that either they or Brett and Nutsa are the PM but not both.
DeleteI honestly feel like Bria and Brett messed up the chances... Bria shouldn't have convinced the house to pick Zac to go on the date after they were a confirmed bo match and Brett should have gone into the truth booth with Nutsa when he had the chance
ReplyDeleteTotally agree, if they lose the $, it's mostly because of their stupidity
DeleteI'm going under the assumption that Morgan and Zak are a match just because it will be the ultimate slap in the face to Bria. Similarly I think Jasmine and Cam were put on a date to set off Kwasi. I also think Kenya and Tevin was a set up to trick them into wasting a TB, and of course they fell for it.
ReplyDeleteMy pick is #2.
ReplyDeletethese people are dumb? How do they not study strategy before going on the show?
ReplyDelete#17 for sure. Zak/Morgan, Kwansi/Lauren are rumored to be PM's. Brett/Nutsa and Samantha/Lewis come out on all 4 combinations the above fit into. The guess work I'm doing is betting on Kayla/Moe, Asia/Tomas, Bria/Cam, Andrew/Jasmine and Cali/Daniel.
ReplyDeleteI'm going to post what my prediction was... It wasn't listed and I can't figure out why it is wrong. Can anyone help?
ReplyDeleteAsia - Cam, Bria - Daniel, Cali - Zak, Jasmine - Tomas, Kayla - Moe, Lauren - Andrew, Morgan - Kwasi, Nutsa - Brett, Sam - Lewis
Your proposal is inconsistent with matching ceremonies 1, 2, and 8.
DeleteIf I did my calculations correct, it should be
ReplyDeleteBrett and Lauren
Kwasi and Kayla
Jasmine and Cam
Daniel and Nutsa
Morgan and Zak
Lewis and Bria
Samantha and Andrew
Asia and Tomas
Cali and Moe
It turns out they have no paper or pencils, so it’s off of memory. I do give you that they need to keep up with these somewhat in their mind and take advantage.
ReplyDeleteAlso what program do you use to create these possibilities?
ReplyDeleteHey Blogking, I didn't use any software :) In the first week there were only three matches (Tevin and Kenya) and (Shamoy and Maria). The only couple that stayed the same was Nusta and Daniel. Some everyone in week 1 and 2 are not a match. In week 4, there were only two matches Shamoy and Maria and Zak and Morgan because they were the only ones to stay the same in week 3 and that just confirms that Jasmine and Kwasi is not a match. In week 5, Samantha and Andrew is the only one to make sense and in week 6 and 7 Lewis and Bria were the only ones to stay the same.
DeleteNow between 1 & 23. LOL This group is the worst and I bet they lose. I'll be surprised if they win. But still hard not to watch this trainwreck lol.
ReplyDeleteAsia is seriously trifling. The producers LOVE her because she will keep the house from getting the money by not looking for her own match and stirring the pot for those who are looking AND she has these stupid "strategies" that throw everything into upheaval. She really feels like a producer plant. Kwasi is not helping himself find love by blowing up all the time. Lauren is nice but just fades into the background and makes for TERRIBLE television. This season is so very doomed. I feel terrible for Maria and Shamoy. (But at least they got a long vacation out of it.)
ReplyDeleteI think the answer is 30. Here's why (from the perspective of a yenta):
Asia/Tomas- She's the "maturity" that he lacks and he's the calm for her hot head.
Bria/Moe- He's the loyalty that she needs and she's a strong woman that he needs
Cali/Andrew- They seem to want the same thing on the same timeline
Jasmine/Daniel- He can put her first, she can keep him interested
Kayla/Kwasi- She can tame the beast, he can make her feel like a queen
Lauren/Cam- I think they probably have similar values (politics)
Morgan/Zak- He needs a sweet doting girl, she's a masochist.
Nutsa/Brett- Ditto.
Samantha/Lewis- He needs a really strong female, she needs someone playful and fun.
I ran an Excel simulation (after the 10/24 episode) & came up with
ReplyDeleteAsia/Lewis
Bria/Daniel
Cali/Zak
Jasmine/Moe
Kayla/Andrew
Lauren/Kwasi
Morgan/Cam
Nutsa/Brett
Samantha/Tomas
Kenya/Tevin
Maria/Shamoy
But this isn't listed as a remaining possibility. Can someone explain what's wrong with my prediction? Which beam ceremony or truth booth does it violate?
You proposal would yield only one beam (Maria/Shamoy) instead of two in matching ceremony 4.
DeleteThanks, Rob! On my Excel sheet, I had entered Kenya/Tevin as being matched-up at every ceremony, when in fact is was every ceremony EXCEPT round 4. Now that you've pointed out the error, my spreadsheet is working as it should.
DeleteFWIW, when I ran the corrected spreadsheet, it came up with:
Asia/Kwasi
Bria/Daniel
Cali/Andrew
Jasmine/Lewis
Kayla/Moe
Lauren/Cam
Morgan/Zak
Nutsa/Tomas
Samantha/Brett
Kenya/Tevin
Maria/Shamoy