We pick up with Cali's gambit.
7:03: Four beams validate that Cali and Tomas aren't a match, and Cam and Kayla are not a match.
But what we do learn is that Tevin and Kenya are a perfect match. There's no longer any possibility left that fits all of the Matchup Ceremonies and Truth Booths without the two of them as a match. 128 combinations remain.
| Andrew | Brett | Cam | Daniel | Kwasi | Lewis | Moe | Shamoy | Tevin | Tomas | Zak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | X | 18.8% | 20.3% | 4.7% | 26.6% | X | 14.1% | X | X | 15.6% | X |
| Bria | 4.7% | 4.7% | 12.5% | 26.6% | 4.7% | 14.1% | 21.9% | X | X | 10.9% | X |
| Cali | 25.8% | X | X | 21.9% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | X | X | X | 8.6% |
| Jasmine | 4.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 20.3% | 29.7% | X | X | 15.6% | 1.6% |
| Kayla | 25.8% | X | X | 21.9% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | X | X | X | 8.6% |
| Kenya | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | Match | X | X |
| Lauren | 12.5% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 1.6% | 12.5% | 21.9% | 1.6% | X | X | 17.2% | X |
| Maria | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | Match | X | X | X |
| Morgan | 3.1% | X | 6.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | X | X | 6.2% | 70.3% |
| Nutsa | X | 42.2% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | X | X | X | 17.2% | X |
| Samantha | 23.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 3.1% | X | X | 17.2% | 10.9% |
7:06: Cam is too conservative - didn't want to try new options, just fell for the first girl - and now he's stuck with no info in the game.
7:13: Lewis leads a group pep talk for Moe, who... doesn't want to pursue any women? But now he's up for pursuing Kayla. OK.
7:15: Sam sets up a whole scavenger hunt for Danny. That's cute. First clue is a pair of panties. Third clue is to do pushups and situps. Hilarious! Sam put on some nice lingerie for him at the end of the hunt.
7:18: It's Lauren playing with the Fate Button today. Tevin and Kwasi are up.
7:23: Tomas's Fate Button press yields... Kenya and Morgan. We already know that Tevin and Kenya are a match, so putting them in the Truth Booth is a waste... Morgan and Kwasi are only a 4.7% chance.
7:25: Terrence J is throwing a party.
7:27: Kwasi also feeling Jasmine...
7:28: Cam dancing... by himself. Doesn't seem like any of the girls are feeling him... until, Cali cuts loose and starts dancing with him. Zak is enticed by this and moves in on her... right in front of Morgan! Wow! Morgan absolutely calls him on it.
7:34: Morgan vows not to sit with Zak the rest of the season. There goes the highest probability couple...
7:35: But Kayla and Moe and starting to hit it off...? No, Kayla isn't ready to move on from Cam. It's Week 8! Is Cam and Bria a thing?
7:36: Cali and Danny starting to hang out a bit. Surprise, they're drunk! Lewis comforting Sam. Seems like the drama got ramped up a ton. Sam promises to beat Cali's ass.
7:44: The alcohol is ripping through the house. Kenya is falling apart knowing that Tevin is talking with Jasmine. Cali was right, though - nobody seemed to mind that she was on Tevin's lap.
7:50: A lot of the girls skipped out on the makeup this morning. Kenya is hung over.
7:51: Lewis calls out Andrew for wanting to pursue a "not losing" strategy rather than a winning strategy - putting Kwasi and Morgan in the Truth Booth and saving Tevin and Kenya as blackout prevention. A couple housemates are thinking the same thing.
Truth Booth #8
It's Kenya and Tevin - we already know they're a perfect match, but they'll likely need until the next episode to confirm it.
Are they in a good spot assuming they play perfectly?
ReplyDeleteThey're further behind than any other season 7 ceremonies in. The fate button hasn't and won't do them any favors.
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ReplyDeleteWhy am I starting to love Bria tho
ReplyDeleteCali really didn’t understand the implications of her strategy. The House genuinely didn’t realize that K/T had to be a match.
ReplyDeleteBut it's so hard for them! I feel bad because they don't even have a pen and paper so to work stuff out, let alone a whole ass algorithm to help work out secret perfect matches. Without the math I didn't understand how the switch of Cali/Tomas and Cam/Kayla had implications on Tevin/Kenya.
DeleteI think now the possibilities have significantly reduced I can understand the consequence of different pairs being perfect matches or not on other pairs, but now with as many possibilities as there were.
They can avoid a blackout and reduce to at most 35 possibilities with the following matching ceremony:
ReplyDeleteAndrew-Cali, Brett-Nutsa, Cam-Asia, Daniel-Bria, Kwasi-Kayla, Lewis-Lauren, Moe-Jasmine, Shamoy-Maria, Tevin-Kenya, Tomas-Samantha, Zak-Morgan
See https://blogs.sas.com/content/operations/2018/08/14/are-you-the-one/
Using Cali's strategy, and getting no matches, what's the math to know for sure that Kenya & Tevin are a perfect match? What other weeks give that away? Or is it super complicated/try every possibility math?
ReplyDeleteI meant getting 2 matches!!
DeleteIn a lot of circumstances, there is a not-too-complicated way to explain early confirmed couples, but I've tried to plug it myself and there's no simple way to get Tevin/Kenya without doing a lot of trial and error. Since they show up in so many possible combos, the best way to do it is to assume they're NOT a match and see if any can be worked out without them in it - and it can't.
DeleteSince the contestants aren't allowed pen and paper, they definitely deserve slack for putting them in the Truth Booth since there's really no logical way to reach that conclusion without cranking out a lot of work.
I figured it all out.
ReplyDeleteIf, from the last ceremony, kenya and tevin are a match, zac and morgan and nutsa and bret then that means sam and lewis are a match from ceremony one, ceremony 2 its kenya tevin, shamoy maria and either kwasi lauren or bria moe. Then from ceremony 3, bria tomas, kenya tevin and maria shamoy. from ceremony 4, either cam asia or daniel lauren. from ceremony 5, 6 and 7 its zac morgan, nutsa bret, kenya tevin and maria shamoy.
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