Update: Thank you for being patient and for helping out!
The Truth Booth revealed that Chuck and Kiki were no match and 708 combinations remain.
| Alec | Austin | Chuck | Connor | Devin | Hunter | Mike | Nelson | Tyler | Zak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda | 11.3% | 20.3% | 16.8% | X | 12.3% | 9.0% | X | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% |
| Britni | 3.2% | 12.3% | X | X | 14.5% | 49.9% | X | 11.7% | 8.3% | X |
| Chelsey | X | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Cheyenne | 4.8% | 9.2% | 18.4% | X | 15.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | X | 13.6% | 17.2% |
| Hannah | 9.5% | 12.7% | X | X | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 20.9% |
| Kayla | 6.6% | 11.6% | 16.8% | X | 13.1% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% |
| Kiki | 17.5% | X | X | X | X | X | 32.1% | 21.9% | 28.5% | X |
| Melanie | 5.8% | 12.6% | 19.4% | X | X | X | 12.7% | 21.6% | 13.0% | 15.0% |
| Rashida | 4.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | X | 24.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 13.1% | X | 12.4% |
| Stacey | 36.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | X | 8.6% | X | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% |
Matchup Ceremony
- Chuck - Amanda
- Tyler - Hannah
- Zak - Kayla (repeat from episodes 1 and 5)
- Austin - Cheyenne
- Hunter - Britni (repeat from episodes 1 and 3)
- Alec - Stacey (repeat from episodes 1, 3, and 5)
- Nelson - Kiki
- Devin - Rashida (repeat from episode 3)
- Mike - Melanie
The ceremony's 3 perfect matches brought the number of possible combinations down to 275.
| Alec | Austin | Chuck | Connor | Devin | Hunter | Mike | Nelson | Tyler | Zak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda | 11.3% | 18.9% | 17.8% | X | 10.2% | 9.5% | X | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% |
| Britni | 2.5% | 12.0% | X | X | 14.9% | 50.9% | X | 11.6% | 8.0% | X |
| Chelsey | X | X | X | Match | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Cheyenne | 4.7% | 10.5% | 19.6% | X | 16.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | X | 12.7% | 17.8% |
| Hannah | 9.1% | 13.1% | X | X | 8.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 21.8% |
| Kayla | 7.3% | 11.6% | 17.5% | X | 14.2% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 13.5% |
| Kiki | 18.5% | X | X | X | X | X | 33.1% | 21.8% | 26.5% | X |
| Melanie | 6.5% | 12.7% | 21.8% | X | X | X | 10.2% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% |
| Rashida | 4.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | X | 28.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | X | 11.3% |
| Stacey | 35.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | X | 8.0% | X | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% |
I don't think they're moving quickly enough.
truth booth chuck and kiki no match
ReplyDeletechuck amanda
ReplyDeletetyler hannah
zak kayla
austin cheyenne
hunter brit
alec stacey
nelson kiki
devin rashita
mike mel
total matches 3
Alec & Stacey
ReplyDeleteAustin & Cheyenne
Chuck & Amanda
Connor & Chelsey
Devin & Rashida
Hunter & Britni
Mike & Melanie
Nelson & Kiki
Tyler & Hannah
Zak & Kayla
Matches, 3 correct
Thank you!
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteAlec and Stacey are most likely a match as well as mike and kayla
ReplyDeleteIts def. Alex and Stacy and Britni and Hunter
ReplyDeleteCan't be both!
DeleteIt could be neither, which would then force a Zak/Kayla perfect match, via the probabilities on http://areyouthe.xyz/
DeleteCase it can't be both Alex and Stacey and Britini and Hunter because they were part of the 4 couples that we know only had 2 matches out of the 4. One has already been confirmed to be Chelsey and Connor, so only one of the 3 other couples from those two matchups are a match.
ReplyDeleteI've been playing with scenarios and found that if Hannah and Austin are week 5's match then Kiki and Nelson have to be week 6's match and then two more pairs are created between Stacey and Tyler, and Amanda and Devin. If Hannah and Austin go in the truth booth and are a match, that is a lot of helpful information!
ReplyDeleteBut that's also assuming that Britni and Hunter and Kayla and Mike are the other matches. Idk if this can all be concluded based on Hannah and Austin matching. I forgot to mention that.
DeleteBut that's also assuming that Britni and Hunter and Kayla and Mike are the other matches. Idk if this can all be concluded based on Hannah and Austin matching. I forgot to mention that.
DeleteI've been playing with scenarios and found that if Hannah and Austin are week 5's match then Kiki and Nelson have to be week 6's match and then two more pairs are created between Stacey and Tyler, and Amanda and Devin. If Hannah and Austin go in the truth booth and are a match, that is a lot of helpful information!
ReplyDeleteYou might like using http://areyouthe.xyz/ to go through some of the scenarios. You can click on pairings to force matches or nonmatches and then watch the probabilities change.
DeleteThey need to send Stacey and Alec.... it would be statistically helpful and helpful for my OWN peace of mind.
ReplyDeleteI agree. The challenges seem so stupid to me. Everyone just wants to win personally and they aren't doing them strategically to get key couples eligible for the TB!
DeleteStacey/Alec or Britni/Hunter would be great truth booths.
DeleteThis is ALWAYS my complaint. They don't play the challenges strategically to get good potential matches into the Truth Booth. I'm sure they all want out of the house for a change of scenery, but you'd think winning the money would be much more important to them.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteThis works:
ReplyDeleteAlec-Kayla
Mike-Kiki
Connor-Chelsey
Zak-Hannah
Tyler-Melanie
Hunter-Britni
Chuck-Stacey
Devin-Amanda
Nelson-Rashida
Austin-Cheyenne
This works:
ReplyDeleteAlec-Kayla
Mike-Kiki
Connor-Chelsey
Zak-Hannah
Tyler-Melanie
Hunter-Britni
Chuck-Stacey
Devin-Amanda
Nelson-Rashida
Austin-Cheyenne
And 274 other possibilities..
DeleteAnd 274 other possibilities..
DeleteMy predictions are
DeleteChelsea and Conor
Zak and Hannah
Melanie and Tyler
Britini and Hunter
Rashida and Nelson
Mike and Cheyenne
Kayla and Austin
Amanda and Chuck (pretty sure this was an extra light this week)
Stacey and Devin
Alec and Kiki
Mine too!
DeleteI'm pretty sure Rashida and Devin are a match. Also, in the trailer.. I watched it carefully. Just to see who is with who etc. And I saw Britni and Hunter out on a date and man.. It just gives me a good feeling about them being a pair.
ReplyDeleteI just keep thinking how can Alec and Stacey be a match if he literally repels her. The matchmakers have to be better than that.
This comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteI think Alec+Stacy and Mike+Kayla could be matches based on the math. Dude come back and show us the way. Hard to watch the show without you lol
ReplyDeleteAccording to http://areyouthe.xyz/ if you pair Alec/Stacey and Mike/Kayla there are just eight possibilities left.
DeleteBritni and Hunter are definitely not the other couple from week one. It has to be Zak and Kayla or Alec/Stacey. Here's why...week 5 there were also 2 confirmed matches both of which were from week one. One of them was Chelsea and Conner and since Britni and Hunter were not sitting together they can't be a match. Hopefully they get it together and figure it out.
ReplyDeleteBritni and Hunter are definitely not the other couple from week one. It has to be Zak and Kayla or Alec/Stacey. Here's why...week 5 there were also 2 confirmed matches both of which were from week one. One of them was Chelsea and Conner and since Britni and Hunter were not sitting together they can't be a match. Hopefully they get it together and figure it out.
ReplyDeleteHow does that prove that they can't be the match? What if a new match was formed?
DeleteCould have been Nelson and Rashida add the second match
DeleteRashida and Devin have to be a match
ReplyDeleteI still looking intensely at it. I think you may be right on that one.
DeleteI still looking intensely at it. I think you may be right on that one.
DeleteI can't wait to see what you think of Austin's strategy. Where did he go wrong?
ReplyDeletewhy are Mike and Britni not a match for sure?
ReplyDeleteBecause if Britini and Mike are a match than it eliminates Alec/Stacey and Kayla/Zak because they were only 2 matches that week. (one is confirmed Connor and Chelsey). However because of the first matchup either Britini/Hunter, Stacey/Alec, and Kayla/Zak are matches but if Britini and Mike are a match then it shows that all three of those combinations aren't a match which isn't possible therefore Britini/Mike can't be a match, neither can Melanie and Hunter based on the same logic.
DeleteCurious how correct Devin was with his thoughts on that they would win easily if Kiki and Chuck were a match. How many possibilities would that have eliminated?
ReplyDeleteYou can use http://areyouthe.xyz/ to answer questions like this. Moving the slider back to the matching ceremony from ep 5 and clicking on Kiki/Chuck to force their match shows that there would have been 110 possibilities remaining had that truth booth gone the other way.
DeleteAfter both episode 6's truth booth AND matching ceremony there are still 275 possibilities.
Yep, he was right. You can use the table to figure out how many possibilities would be eliminated. Chuck and Kiki had a 13.4% chance going into the truth booth out of 818 combinations. That means a success would have eliminated 708 possibilities, leaving 110. In reality, the failure eliminated 110 possibilities, leaving 708.
DeleteI have been working under the assumption that Devin and rashida (meaning zak and Hannah cannot be matched) and hunter and britini are perfect matches (taking out Stacy and Alec and Kayla and Zak) .I could see/want Cheyenne and zak to be a match meaning Tyler and Melanie cannot be a match.
ReplyDeleteSo if mc1=2, mc2=0, mc3=3, mc4=2, mc5=2 mc6=3
i think they need to try this:
Chelsea and Connor (confirmed mc1,3,4,5,6)
Britini and hunter (mc1,3,6)
Rashida and Devin (mc 3,6)
Cheyenne and Zak (mc 4)
Hannah and Austin (mc 5)
Along with new pairings of
Kiki and Mike (they need to match up at some point)
Amanda and Nelson (reminds me of Simon and Dre from season 1)
Alec and Melanie (after watching the sneak peak)
And then I'm left with Stacy, Kayla, chuck and Tyler.
Now hear me out. Kayla's bio says she's the type of girl who can ride a dirt bike in 6 inch heels. And Chuck said something about being into girls who are like tiny balls of hell... So I'm going with Chuck and Kayla on this one leaving Stacy and Tyler which I think could work he doesn't seem like he'd be bothered by Stacys attention and she seems like she could settle in with a nice guy like Tyler.
I have been working under the assumption that Devin and rashida (meaning zak and Hannah cannot be matched) and hunter and britini are perfect matches (taking out Stacy and Alec and Kayla and Zak) .I could see/want Cheyenne and zak to be a match meaning Tyler and Melanie cannot be a match.
ReplyDeleteSo if mc1=2, mc2=0, mc3=3, mc4=2, mc5=2 mc6=3
i think they need to try this:
Chelsea and Connor (confirmed mc1,3,4,5,6)
Britini and hunter (mc1,3,6)
Rashida and Devin (mc 3,6)
Cheyenne and Zak (mc 4)
Hannah and Austin (mc 5)
Along with new pairings of
Kiki and Mike (they need to match up at some point)
Amanda and Nelson (reminds me of Simon and Dre from season 1)
Alec and Melanie (after watching the sneak peak)
And then I'm left with Stacy, Kayla, chuck and Tyler.
Now hear me out. Kayla's bio says she's the type of girl who can ride a dirt bike in 6 inch heels. And Chuck said something about being into girls who are like tiny balls of hell... So I'm going with Chuck and Kayla on this one leaving Stacy and Tyler which I think could work he doesn't seem like he'd be bothered by Stacys attention and she seems like she could settle in with a nice guy like Tyler.
but how many lights were there?
ReplyDelete