Season 2, Episode 6 Probabilities - Live Blog

To recap - we have two perfect matches, Pratt + Paris and Curtis + Shelby.

10:02 Garland thinks that Jessica and Alex are a match (11.3%), but that Layton and Jenni aren't (6.6%)

10:04 I have a feeling I know who Alexandria's dad is. Tyler's mom looks just like her too. And Ellie's grandmother's accent is a giveaway.

Anthony making a good decision on checking out the moms.

10:12 Our couples for the date are John + Jasmine (5.8%), Dario + Briana (7.5%), and Alex + Alexandria (8.8%). Alex originally wanted Briana which would have been a little better (13.6%), but this isn't a great selection of pairings. These guys don't know very much about what's up.

10:16 Christina's step dad calling her on her shit. But she seems to say that she's going to cut off from Brandon every episode.

Christina's step dad is pretty cool. I might watch a spinoff of this show with just the parents.

10:18 Anthony's face is priceless as Alex tells him about Layton calling him the worst. Wow.

10:20 Layton isn't afraid to take shots.

10:26 Brandon being a little nicer to Ellie. That's nice.

10:28 People getting heated.

10:33 John and Jasmine seem to have this down. Anthony pretty clear that it's a strategy move based on the first episode.

10:39 Truth booth: John and Jasmine. No match. This only eliminates 35 of the 603 remaining combinations. Brutal.

	Alex	Anthony	Brandon	Curtis	Dario	Garland	John	Layton	Nathan	Pratt
Alexandria	8.5%	18.5%	X	X	4.4%	50.2%	11.1%	7.4%	X	X
Ashley	9.2%	7.0%	12.5%	X	36.1%	4.9%	14.1%	8.6%	7.6%	X
Briana	12.7%	16.7%	18.3%	X	7.9%	9.3%	15.0%	8.8%	11.3%	X
Ellie	X	17.4%	X	X	9.3%	6.5%	11.4%	48.9%	6.3%	X
Jasmine	35.7%	17.1%	16.7%	X	7.6%	X	X	11.4%	11.4%	X
Jenni	22.0%	X	21.7%	X	9.9%	9.5%	10.6%	7.0%	19.4%	X
Jessica	12.0%	6.7%	X	X	16.4%	13.4%	22.5%	X	29.0%	X
Paris	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match
Shelby	X	X	X	Match	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tyler	X	16.5%	30.8%	X	8.5%	6.2%	15.3%	7.7%	15.0%	X
Christina	17.3%	16.5%	X	X	16.5%	16.5%	X	16.5%	16.5%	X

10:40 they seem very disappointed. More so than the other more lusty couples.

10:43 check in on the honeymoon suite. This didn't happen last year and is a pretty cool idea.

10:44 Tyler is the Judah Friedlander of this show. Did she bring enough hats?

10:52 Tyler's mom, who was my second favorite parent, did NOT like Garland. And she picks him anyway!

Matchup Ceremony

• Ashley + Brandon
• Jasmine + Nathan
• Briana + Dario
• Ellie + Anthony
• Tyler + Garland
• Alexandria + John
• Jenni + Layton
• Jessica + Alex
• Christina tries to steal Nathan from Jasmine and he RESISTS! First guy turning down Christina.

10:59 No matches! Wow! Again! Ryan's scolding is correct in this case - eliminating all of these couples only whittles them down to 249 possibilities.

	Alex	Anthony	Brandon	Curtis	Dario	Garland	John	Layton	Nathan	Pratt
Alexandria	11.6%	20.1%	X	X	8.0%	49.0%	X	11.2%	X	X
Ashley	12.4%	6.0%	X	X	43.0%	2.0%	18.1%	11.2%	7.2%	X
Briana	15.3%	22.1%	18.9%	X	X	8.8%	13.7%	8.0%	13.3%	X
Ellie	X	X	X	X	13.3%	8.8%	18.1%	46.6%	13.3%	X
Jasmine	33.3%	24.9%	24.1%	X	5.6%	X	X	12.0%	X	X
Jenni	27.3%	X	26.9%	X	4.8%	10.8%	12.0%	X	18.1%	X
Jessica	X	8.0%	X	X	21.7%	20.5%	21.7%	X	28.1%	X
Paris	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	Match
Shelby	X	X	X	Match	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tyler	X	18.9%	30.1%	X	3.6%	X	16.5%	10.8%	20.1%	X
Christina	13.7%	17.3%	X	X	17.3%	17.3%	X	17.3%	17.3%	X