Wednesday, August 22, 2018

Season 7, Episode 3 Probabilities - Live Blog

10:04: We start back again with the Bria drama... she tells Zack it's over.

10:05: Tevin mad that Kenya gave Lewis head.

10:07: Jasmine mad about Tevin. Two guys (not sure who?) comforting her.

10:11: Bria still territorial. And now Nutsa is mad that Morgan is moving in on Zak.

10:17: And we're finally away form the fights with Cali and Brett peacefully enjoying each other's company. Hopefully they go on the date next?

10:18: The fate button is back. Must be a lot less exciting for the housemates not having challenges.

10:19: Moe hits the fate button for the guys and it's Asia (hoping for Lewis) and Nutsa (hoping for Zak).

10:24: Morgan hits the fate button and it's Cam and Andrew. Hmmm... maybe this is really random?

10:26: Hamster balls in the water... seems like fun! But also very difficult. Apparently this is called "water zorbing."

10:27: The house working towards Asia and Cam in the house.

10:28: Nutsa up front... she's not attracted to Andrew. Doesn't seem like she's feeling Cam either.

10:30: Terrence J asking for the pulse of the room... and Tevin brings his triangle between Kenya and Jasmine to the front.

Truth Booth #2

It's Asia and Andrew (7.3%) headed to the Truth Booth. No match! 2,104,123 combinations left.

AndrewBrettCamDanielKwasiLewisMoeShamoyTevinTomasZak
AsiaX7.9%7.9%7.9%28.9%7.9%7.9%7.6%7.9%8.5%7.9%
Bria7.9%7.3%7.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.9%26.3%
Cali7.9%26.3%7.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.9%7.3%
Jasmine7.9%7.3%7.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%26.3%7.1%7.3%7.9%7.3%
Kayla7.9%7.3%26.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.9%7.3%
Kenya7.9%7.3%7.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.3%7.1%26.3%7.9%7.3%
Lauren28.9%7.1%7.1%7.1%6.9%7.1%7.1%6.9%7.1%7.6%7.1%
Maria8.5%7.9%7.9%7.9%7.6%7.9%7.9%28.9%7.9%X7.9%
Morgan7.6%7.1%7.1%7.1%6.9%7.1%7.1%6.9%7.1%28.9%7.1%
Nutsa7.9%7.3%7.3%26.3%7.1%7.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.9%7.3%
Samantha7.9%7.3%7.3%7.3%7.1%26.3%7.3%7.1%7.3%7.9%7.3%

10:37: Kenya and Jasmine get into a shouting match.

10:38: In one moment, Zak talks about wanting to line up a set of girls... then he starts talking about loyalty.

10:39: Then Bria and Morgan team up... Morgan pulls Nutsa away and Bria pulls Zak into the boom boom room.

10:43: Damn - Bria adamant that she has Zak under her control. And now Cali wants to insert herself into the drama!!

Matchup Ceremony #2

10:48: Samantha inserts herself into the Zak drama!! And Bria interjects into the ceremony! And is now flipping around that she doesn't like Zak anymore.

10:53: Lewis has got it - Bria acting like this is divorce court.

10:55: I forgot there was someone even named "Tomas" in this season. And "Shamoy" too.
  • Kenya - Tevin (repeat from ceremony 1)
  • Kayla - Cam (repeat from ceremony 1)
  • Jasmine - Lewis
  • Asia - Brett
  • Nutsa - Daniel (repeat from ceremony 1)
  • Samantha - Zak
  • Bria - Moe
  • Morgan - Andrew
  • Cali - Tomas
  • Lauren - Kwasi
  • Maria - Shamoy (repeat from ceremony 1)
Blackout probability: 36.4% (335,346 of 2,104,123)
Instant win possible: No, repeated more than 3 from ceremony 1
Maximum number of lights:  9
Most likely number of lights: 1

3 beams means 287,580 possibilities are left.

AndrewBrettCamDanielKwasiLewisMoeShamoyTevinTomasZak
AsiaX18.3%6.7%6.7%18.3%9.1%9.1%6.3%6.7%9.6%9.1%
Bria9.1%8.2%6.0%6.0%8.2%8.2%16.8%5.7%6.0%8.8%16.9%
Cali9.0%16.0%6.1%6.1%8.2%8.2%8.2%5.7%6.1%18.0%8.2%
Jasmine9.1%8.2%6.0%6.0%8.2%16.8%16.9%5.7%6.0%8.8%8.2%
Kayla6.7%6.1%43.8%4.3%6.1%6.0%6.0%4.0%4.3%6.5%6.0%
Kenya6.7%6.1%4.3%4.3%6.1%6.0%6.0%4.0%43.8%6.5%6.0%
Lauren18.3%8.2%6.1%6.1%16.0%8.2%8.2%5.8%6.1%8.8%8.2%
Maria7.1%6.4%4.5%4.5%6.5%6.4%6.4%47.6%4.5%X6.4%
Morgan18.0%8.1%6.0%6.0%8.1%8.1%8.1%5.7%6.0%17.6%8.1%
Nutsa6.7%6.1%4.3%43.8%6.1%6.0%6.0%4.0%4.3%6.5%6.0%
Samantha9.1%8.2%6.0%6.0%8.2%16.9%8.2%5.7%6.0%8.8%16.8%

12 comments:

  1. I am so over this Zach obsession that every girl has

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  2. Right! He's not even worth it. But Andrew and Lewis on the other hand... they're cuties

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  3. At least they are thinking somewhat strategically to avoid a black out.

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  4. I miss Ryan Devlin counting on his fingers.

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    Replies
    1. I miss Ryan Devlin doing everything. I don't like Terrance as the host of this show.

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  5. It seems like every season there’s a guy the girls all flock to and I can never understand their reasoning.

    Not liking the fate button at all. I assume it’s just to make it a lot harder for them to guess all 11 perfect matches correctly. It makes the Truth Booth nearly useless IMO.

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    Replies
    1. Very true! I think it's pretty useless, but it is getting people to at least talk to people they normally wouldn't so they can at least explore that.

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    2. I agree. I’m ok with it in the beginning when they barely know each other, but after they feel like they’ve found their match, they have to hope they get lucky with the fate button. That seems stupid. Lol.

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    3. I think I'll miss challenges but it does make the game harder because then you can't throw whoever you want in the Truth Booth. Not that it worked half the time but I agree that it does help you talk to others you may not go up to.

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    4. I agree, it does make the truth booth nearly useless.

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  6. Knowing what we know about "reality" television, the fate button isn't random or at least won't be for long. Just wait until the producers put some love triangle up to go on the group date.

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  7. Zak is an idiot. He could be a really nice genuine guy if he wanted to since so many girls are interested in him but he chooses not to be, and chooses to want attention from crazy girl Bria. There's no logic to what he's thinking. He's just full of himself and likes the attention.

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