Wednesday, January 25, 2023

Season 9, Episode 3 Probabilities

Truth Booth #2

Hamudi and Anissa go into the Truth Booth and are not a match.

AqelBrendanClayEduardoHamudiLeoMikeyNathanOllieSamuelWill
Anissa11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%X11.0%11.0%12.3%X11.0%11.0%
Brooke9.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%X9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
CC9.7%X9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
CourtneyX9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
Danielle9.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%X11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
Dew9.7%9.7%X9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
Jordanne9.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%X
Julia Ruth9.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%X9.7%
Mijntje9.9%9.9%9.9%9.9%11.2%9.9%9.9%X10.0%9.9%9.9%
Roz9.7%9.7%9.7%X11.1%9.7%9.7%11.0%9.9%9.7%9.7%
Taylor11.1%11.1%11.1%11.1%X11.1%11.1%X11.2%11.1%11.1%

11,895,985 possibilities remain.

Matchup Ceremony #2
  • Anissa - Aqel
  • CC - Clay
  • Danielle - Eduardo
  • Mijntje - Hamudi
  • Brooke - Ollie
  • Roz - Mikey
  • Dew - Samuel
  • Julia Ruth - Nathan
  • Jordanne - Brendan
  • Taylor - Will
  • Courtney - Leo

Blackout probability: 32.5% (3,865,932 of 11,895,985)
Instant win possible: Yes
Most likely number of lights: 1

2 beams. 2,441,740 combinations left.

AqelBrendanClayEduardoHamudiLeoMikeyNathanOllieSamuelWill
Anissa19.5%9.9%10.0%10.0%X10.0%10.0%11.0%X9.9%9.8%
Brooke8.9%9.0%9.0%9.0%10.0%X9.0%9.9%17.5%9.0%8.8%
CC8.9%X17.3%9.0%10.0%9.0%9.0%9.9%9.1%9.0%8.8%
CourtneyX9.0%9.0%9.0%10.0%17.3%9.0%9.9%9.1%9.0%8.8%
Danielle8.9%9.0%9.0%17.3%10.0%9.0%X9.9%9.1%9.0%8.8%
Dew8.9%9.0%X9.0%10.0%9.0%9.0%9.9%9.1%17.3%8.8%
Jordanne8.8%17.3%9.0%9.0%10.0%9.0%9.0%9.9%9.1%9.0%X
Julia Ruth8.7%8.8%8.9%8.9%9.9%8.8%8.9%19.5%8.9%X8.7%
Mijntje8.8%8.9%8.9%8.9%20.0%8.9%8.9%X9.0%8.9%8.8%
Roz8.9%9.0%9.0%X10.0%9.0%17.3%9.9%9.1%9.0%8.8%
Taylor9.9%10.1%10.0%10.0%X10.0%10.0%X10.1%10.0%19.8%

3 comments:

  1. Can't help but notice that this season's posts have been pretty much stripped down to only the booth and matchup into. Have you lost interest in the interpersonal developments throughout the episodes, or have you just not been available to live blog, or not think that's relevant with the streaming format?

    ReplyDelete